College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Kansas vs. Oklahoma 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Kansas visits Oklahoma on 11/7/2020 at 3:30PM.

Kansas and Oklahoma face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Kansas has a record of 0-6 this season. Oklahoma is 4-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Kansas Team Defense Preview

Kansas has had 63 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.29 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Kansas has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 46.25% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Kansas can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.03 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Kansas is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kansas Team Offense Preview

Kansas has had 64 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.52 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Kansas passes the football 53.29% of the time.Kansas tends to pass more than other teams.

Kansas struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.22 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Kansas Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Kansas is a better passing team than running team this season.

Oklahoma Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma has had 71 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.1 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Oklahoma opponents pass the football 57.73% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Oklahoma opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Oklahoma can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.03 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Oklahoma has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Oklahoma should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oklahoma Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma has had 70 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.21 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Oklahoma has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Oklahoma passes the football 49.59% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Oklahoma struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Oklahoma can take credit for 2.65 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Oklahoma Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Oklahoma is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Kansas Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas

Jalon Daniels QB 6-0 200

This season, Jalon Daniels has put up 546 yards and 0 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 95.2thus far this season. Jalon Daniels has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jalon Daniels has 83.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 80.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 53.0 times this season, which puts him in the 91.37 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Velton Gardner RB 5-9 190

This season, Velton Gardner has 325 rushing yards on 72 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Velton Gardner picked up 18 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kwamie Lassiter II WR 6-0 175

This season, Kwamie Lassiter II picked up 295 yards. He caught the ball 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcus Harris DL 6-2 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas, Marcus Harris has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Davon Ferguson S 5-10 197

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas, Davon Ferguson had 27 tackles which puts him in the 89.02 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Davon Ferguson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kenny Logan Jr. CB 6-0 195

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas, Kenny Logan Jr. had 43 tackles which puts him in the 99.81 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 82.34 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Kenny Logan Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Oklahoma Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma

Spencer Rattler QB 6-1 205

This season, Spencer Rattler has put up 1806 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 178.9thus far this season. Spencer Rattler has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Rattler has 98.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 82.75 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 47.0 times this season, which puts him in the 88.63 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

T.J. Pledger RB 5-9 193

This season, T.J. Pledger has 357 rushing yards on 74 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, T.J. Pledger picked up 79 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marvin Mims WR 5-11 177

This season, Marvin Mims picked up 388 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Thomas DL 6-5 267

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma, Isaiah Thomas has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 94.97 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Delarrin Turner-Yell S 5-10 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma, Delarrin Turner-Yell had 26 tackles which puts him in the 87.55 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Delarrin Turner-Yell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tre Brown CB 5-10 186

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma, Tre Brown had 19 tackles which puts him in the 89.96 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre Brown as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kansas vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Kansas 17 Oklahoma 53

Spread Pick: Kansas +38.5 -102 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma -3931 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 63.5 -108 5Dimes