College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Kansas State vs. Baylor 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Kansas State visits Baylor on 11/28/2020 at 7:00PM.

Kansas State and Baylor face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Kansas State has a record of 4-4 this season. Baylor is 1-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Kansas State Team Defense Preview

Kansas State has had 86 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.77 plays per drive. Kansas State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Kansas State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 52.22% of their opponents’ play calls.Kansas State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Kansas State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.86 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Kansas State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kansas State Team Offense Preview

Kansas State has had 86 total drives this season and they generate 4.67 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Kansas State passes the football 45.27% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Kansas State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.18 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Kansas State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Kansas State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Baylor Team Defense Preview

Baylor has had 79 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.05 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Baylor is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Baylor has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 44.61% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Baylor opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Baylor can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.74 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Baylor has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Baylor Team Offense Preview

Baylor has had 75 total drives this season and they generate 5.09 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Baylor is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 54.71% of their play calls.Baylor tends to pass more than other teams.

Baylor struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.31 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Baylor Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Baylor is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Kansas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas State

Will Howard QB 6-4 230

This season, Will Howard has put up 916 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 119.1thus far this season. Will Howard has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Will Howard has 244.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 90.82 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 51.0 times this season, which puts him in the 85.74 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deuce Vaughn RB 5-5 168

This season, Deuce Vaughn has 425 rushing yards on 94 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deuce Vaughn picked up 370 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chabastin Taylor WR 6-4 223

This season, Chabastin Taylor picked up 293 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Drew Wiley DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Drew Wiley has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.59 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 98.12 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Khalid Duke DE 6-3 244

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Khalid Duke has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.1 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.17 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jahron McPherson DB 6-1 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas State, Jahron McPherson had 46 tackles which puts him in the 96.15 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 88.98 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jahron McPherson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.39 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Baylor Roster

The Players to Watch for Baylor

Charlie Brewer QB 6-1 210

This season, Charlie Brewer has put up 1278 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 127.8thus far this season. Charlie Brewer has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Charlie Brewer has 113.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 81.31 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 66.0 times this season, which puts him in the 90.82 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Craig Williams RB 5-8 173

This season, Craig Williams has 197 rushing yards on 26 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Craig Williams picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

R.J. Sneed WR 6-1 200

This season, R.J. Sneed picked up 349 yards. He caught the ball 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ryan Miller DT 6-2 289

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baylor, Ryan Miller has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 75.12 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 77.7 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Brayden Utley DE 6-1 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baylor, Brayden Utley has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 68.37 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jalen Pitre S 6-0 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baylor, Jalen Pitre had 39 tackles which puts him in the 92.83 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 5 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.92 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Pitre as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.39 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Raleigh Texada CB 5-10 188

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baylor, Raleigh Texada had 20 tackles which puts him in the 80.43 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 78.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Raleigh Texada as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 83.79 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kansas State vs. Baylor Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Kansas State 25 Baylor 24

Spread Pick: Kansas State +5.5 -104 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Kansas State +190 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 44.5 -110 Bookmaker