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Kansas State vs. Iowa State 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Kansas State visits Iowa State on 11/21/2020 at 4:00PM.

Kansas State and Iowa State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Kansas State has a record of 4-3 this season. Iowa State is 5-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Kansas State Team Defense Preview

Kansas State has had 80 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.74 plays per drive. Kansas State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Kansas State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Kansas State opponents pass the football 53.38% of the time.Kansas State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Kansas State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.82 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Kansas State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kansas State Team Offense Preview

Kansas State has had 80 total drives this season and they generate 4.73 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Kansas State passes the football 45.77% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Kansas State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Kansas State can take credit for 2.24 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Kansas State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Kansas State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Iowa State Team Defense Preview

Iowa State has had 82 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.2 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 51.64% of their opponents’ play calls.Iowa State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Iowa State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Iowa State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.54 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Iowa State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Iowa State Team Offense Preview

Iowa State has had 85 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.32 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Iowa State has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 48.67% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Iowa State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.18 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Iowa State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Iowa State Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Iowa State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Kansas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas State

Will Howard QB 6-4 230

This season, Will Howard has put up 884 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 125.2thus far this season. Will Howard has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Will Howard has 232.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 46.0 times this season, which puts him in the 84.98 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deuce Vaughn RB 5-5 168

This season, Deuce Vaughn has 381 rushing yards on 87 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deuce Vaughn picked up 366 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chabastin Taylor WR 6-4 223

This season, Chabastin Taylor picked up 256 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Drew Wiley DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Drew Wiley has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.27 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 99.03 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Khalid Duke DE 6-3 244

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Khalid Duke has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 81.28 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jahron McPherson DB 6-1 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas State, Jahron McPherson had 42 tackles which puts him in the 95.74 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jahron McPherson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.93 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Iowa State Roster

The Players to Watch for Iowa State

Brock Purdy QB 6-1 212

This season, Brock Purdy has put up 1477 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 129.1thus far this season. Brock Purdy has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brock Purdy has 194.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 89.76 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 48.0 times this season, which puts him in the 85.67 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Breece Hall RB 6-1 215

This season, Breece Hall has 1034 rushing yards on 165 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 13 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Breece Hall picked up 88 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Xavier Hutchinson WR 6-3 207

This season, Xavier Hutchinson picked up 407 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Lee DT 6-0 301

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa State, Isaiah Lee has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 26.7 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

JaQuan Bailey DE 6-2 261

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa State, JaQuan Bailey has 28 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 11 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.78 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 97.86 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Lawrence White DB 6-0 197

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Iowa State, Lawrence White had 32 tackles which puts him in the 90.28 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Lawrence White as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kansas State vs. Iowa State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Kansas State 21 Iowa State 32

Spread Pick: Iowa State -10.5 -110 SBR Sportsbook
Moneyline Pick: Iowa State -390 SBR Sportsbook
Total Pick: Over 46 -112 Bookmaker