College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Kansas vs. Texas Tech 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Kansas visits Texas Tech on 12/5/2020 at 12:00PM.

Kansas and Texas Tech face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Kansas has a record of 0-8 this season. Texas Tech is 3-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Kansas Team Defense Preview

Kansas has had 83 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.07 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Kansas message boards are flights of fantasy. Kansas opponents pass the football 44.66% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.26 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Kansas has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Kansas Team Offense Preview

Kansas has had 86 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.35 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 54.28% of their play calls.Kansas tends to pass more than other teams.

Kansas struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.01 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Kansas Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Kansas is a better passing team than running team this season.

Texas Tech Team Defense Preview

Texas Tech has had 113 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.73 plays per drive. Texas Tech lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Texas Tech has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 48.77% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Texas Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas Tech can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.04 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Texas Tech has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Texas Tech Team Offense Preview

Texas Tech has had 117 total drives this season and they generate 5.19 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Texas Tech is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Texas Tech has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 57.17% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Texas Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Texas Tech can take credit for 2.88 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Texas Tech Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Texas Tech has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Kansas Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas

Jalon Daniels QB 6-0 200

This season, Jalon Daniels has put up 718 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 86.6thus far this season. Jalon Daniels has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jalon Daniels has 24.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 50.95 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 74.0 times this season, which puts him in the 91.9 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Velton Gardner RB 5-9 190

This season, Velton Gardner has 325 rushing yards on 72 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Velton Gardner picked up 18 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kwamie Lassiter II WR 6-0 175

This season, Kwamie Lassiter II picked up 440 yards. He caught the ball 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcus Harris DL 6-2 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Kansas, Marcus Harris has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.73 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ricky Thomas S 5-10 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas, Ricky Thomas had 35 tackles which puts him in the 87.92 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Ricky Thomas as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Kenny Logan Jr. CB 6-0 195

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Kansas, Kenny Logan Jr. had 55 tackles which puts him in the 99.27 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 78.74 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Kenny Logan Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.13 percentile among Corners this season.

The Texas Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas Tech

Alan Bowman QB 6-3 215

This season, Alan Bowman has put up 1479 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.0thus far this season. Alan Bowman has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Alan Bowman has 9.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 38.89 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 8.0 times this season, which puts him in the 36.03 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

SaRodorick Thompson RB 6-0 210

This season, SaRodorick Thompson has 593 rushing yards on 102 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, SaRodorick Thompson picked up 116 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Erik Ezukanma WR 6-3 220

This season, Erik Ezukanma picked up 728 yards. He caught the ball 44 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tony Bradford Jr. DL 6-1 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Texas Tech, Tony Bradford Jr. has 22 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.63 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Eric Monroe DB 5-11 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas Tech, Eric Monroe had 56 tackles which puts him in the 97.37 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 94.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Eric Monroe as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Kansas vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Kansas 22 Texas Tech 37

Spread Pick: Kansas +27.5 -108 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Texas Tech -1904 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 62.5 -107 Pinnacle Sports