College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Kent State vs. Bowling Green 11/10/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Kent State visits Bowling Green on 11/10/2020 at 7:30PM.

Kent State and Bowling Green face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Kent State has a record of 1-0 this season. Bowling Green is 0-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Kent State Team Defense Preview

Kent State has had 10 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.4 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Kent State cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Kent State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 59.38% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Kent State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Kent State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 1.8 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Kent State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Kent State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Kent State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kent State Team Offense Preview

Kent State has had 11 total drives this season and they generate 6.55 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Kent State. Any defense is in for a challenge with Kent State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Kent State passes the football 38.89% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Kent State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.78 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Kent State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Kent State is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Kent State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Bowling Green Team Defense Preview

Bowling Green has had 11 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.73 plays per drive. Bowling Green lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Bowling Green has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Bowling Green opponents pass the football 44.44% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Bowling Green is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.24 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Bowling Green is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Bowling Green Team Offense Preview

Bowling Green has had 12 total drives this season and they generate 3.75 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Bowling Green is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 48.89% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Bowling Green is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Bowling Green can take credit for 2.91 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Bowling Green Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Bowling Green has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Kent State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kent State

Dustin Crum QB 6-3 207

This season, Dustin Crum has put up 219 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 151.7thus far this season. Dustin Crum has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dustin Crum has 35.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 60.07 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 8.0 times this season, which puts him in the 43.17 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Bryan Bradford RB 6-0 243

This season, Bryan Bradford has 72 rushing yards on 12 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Bryan Bradford picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah McKoy WR 6-3 200

This season, Isaiah McKoy picked up 104 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nadir Pineda DT 6-3 278

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kent State, Nadir Pineda has 1 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.34 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Zayin West DE 6-1 272

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kent State, Zayin West has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 54.5 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.98 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Dean Clark S 6-0 211

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kent State, Dean Clark had 7 tackles which puts him in the 46.3 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.71 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Dean Clark as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 87.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tony Butler CB 6-2 214

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kent State, Tony Butler had 1 tackles which puts him in the 8.51 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.33 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tony Butler as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.89 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Bowling Green Roster

The Players to Watch for Bowling Green

Matt McDonald QB 6-3 214

This season, Matt McDonald has put up 128 yards and 0 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 49.2thus far this season. Matt McDonald has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Matt McDonald has 41.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 62.95 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 3.0 times this season, which puts him in the 23.38 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Trevon Raymore RB 5-10 234

This season, Trevon Raymore has 41 rushing yards on 7 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Trevon Raymore picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Julian Ortega-Jones WR 6-2 206

This season, Julian Ortega-Jones picked up 61 yards. He caught the ball 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Roland Walder DL 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Bowling Green, Roland Walder has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.92 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.98 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Caleb Biggers DB 5-11 192

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Bowling Green, Caleb Biggers had 9 tackles which puts him in the 52.29 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.71 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Caleb Biggers as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.12 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kent State vs. Bowling Green Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Kent State 36 Bowling Green 20

Spread Pick: Bowling Green +21 -115 Bovada
Moneyline Pick: Kent State -980 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 55 -105 JazzSports