College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Kent State vs. Buffalo 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Kent State visits Buffalo on 11/28/2020 at 12:00PM.

Kent State and Buffalo face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Kent State has a record of 3-0 this season. Buffalo is 3-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Kent State Team Defense Preview

Kent State has had 31 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.77 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kent State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 45.27% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Kent State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.43 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Kent State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Kent State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Kent State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kent State Team Offense Preview

Kent State has had 31 total drives this season and they generate 6.58 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Kent State. Any defense is in for a challenge with Kent State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Kent State passes the football 40.20% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.34 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Kent State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Kent State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Buffalo Team Defense Preview

Buffalo has had 33 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 3.97 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Buffalo is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 51.15% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.99 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Buffalo is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Buffalo Team Offense Preview

Buffalo has had 30 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.37 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Buffalo, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Buffalo passes the football 32.92% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Buffalo can take credit for 3.86 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Buffalo has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Buffalo is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Buffalo is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Kent State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kent State

Dustin Crum QB 6-3 207

This season, Dustin Crum has put up 838 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 196.4thus far this season. Dustin Crum has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dustin Crum has 164.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.89 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 31.0 times this season, which puts him in the 72.95 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Marquez Cooper RB 5-6 184

This season, Marquez Cooper has 218 rushing yards on 45 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Marquez Cooper picked up 14 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah McKoy WR 6-3 200

This season, Isaiah McKoy picked up 318 yards. He caught the ball 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nadir Pineda DT 6-3 278

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kent State, Nadir Pineda has 2 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 25.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Sekou Diaby DL 6-2 278

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kent State, Sekou Diaby has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 22.49 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Dean Clark S 6-0 211.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kent State, Dean Clark had 21 tackles which puts him in the 70.43 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Dean Clark as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tony Butler CB 6-2 214

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kent State, Tony Butler had 11 tackles which puts him in the 59.17 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.17 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tony Butler as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Buffalo Roster

The Players to Watch for Buffalo

Kyle Vantrease QB 6-3 220

This season, Kyle Vantrease has put up 605 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 177.8thus far this season. Kyle Vantrease has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Vantrease has 18.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 46.72 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 5.0 times this season, which puts him in the 29.67 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jaret Patterson RB 5-9 195

This season, Jaret Patterson has 511 rushing yards on 71 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jaret Patterson picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Antonio Nunn WR 5-11 200

This season, Antonio Nunn picked up 309 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

George Wolo DT 6-0 265

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Buffalo, George Wolo has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 59.39 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 77.7 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Malcolm Koonce DE 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Buffalo, Malcolm Koonce has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 91.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Cory Gross Jr. S 6-2 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Buffalo, Cory Gross Jr. had 18 tackles which puts him in the 65.01 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 75.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cory Gross Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Isaiah King CB 5-10 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Buffalo, Isaiah King had 12 tackles which puts him in the 62.69 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.17 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Isaiah King as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kent State vs. Buffalo Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Kent State 27 Buffalo 35

Spread Pick: Buffalo -7 -120 BetOnline
Moneyline Pick: Buffalo -255 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 68 -107 Pinnacle Sports