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Liberty vs. North Carolina State 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Liberty visits North Carolina State on 11/21/2020 at 7:30PM.

Liberty and North Carolina State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Liberty has a record of 8-0 this season. North Carolina State is 5-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Liberty Team Defense Preview

Liberty has had 84 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.83 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Liberty is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Liberty has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Liberty opponents pass the football 52.46% of the time.Liberty tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.35 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Liberty has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Liberty Team Offense Preview

Liberty has had 82 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.2 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Liberty. Any defense is in for a challenge with Liberty, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Liberty passes the football 40.94% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Liberty is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.26 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Liberty coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Liberty Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Liberty has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

North Carolina State Team Defense Preview

North Carolina State has had 99 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.9 plays per drive. North Carolina State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. North Carolina State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. North Carolina State opponents pass the football 52.40% of the time.North Carolina State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

North Carolina State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.84 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. North Carolina State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

North Carolina State Team Offense Preview

North Carolina State has had 100 total drives this season and they generate 5.07 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, North Carolina State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. North Carolina State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. North Carolina State passes the football 48.52% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

North Carolina State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.56 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the North Carolina State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. North Carolina State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Liberty Roster

The Players to Watch for Liberty

Malik Willis QB 6-1 195

This season, Malik Willis has put up 1645 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 170.9thus far this season. Malik Willis has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Malik Willis has 700.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 98.0 times this season, which puts him in the 98.63 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 9.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Joshua Mack RB 6-0 195

This season, Joshua Mack has 534 rushing yards on 102 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Joshua Mack picked up -4 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

D.J. Stubbs WR 5-9 185

This season, D.J. Stubbs picked up 399 yards. He caught the ball 30 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ralfs Rusins DT 6-6 325

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Liberty, Ralfs Rusins has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 61.41 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 78.88 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Durrell Johnson DE 6-4 225

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Liberty, Durrell Johnson has 30 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.64 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 7 times this season, which put him in the 99.62 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Javon Scruggs S 5-11 175

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Liberty, Javon Scruggs had 44 tackles which puts him in the 96.53 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Javon Scruggs as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Chris Megginson CB 6-0 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Liberty, Chris Megginson had 20 tackles which puts him in the 84.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.32 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Chris Megginson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 84.75 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The North Carolina State Roster

The Players to Watch for North Carolina State

Bailey Hockman QB 6-2 200

This season, Bailey Hockman has put up 1044 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 141.0thus far this season. Bailey Hockman has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Bailey Hockman has 15.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 44.03 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 31.0 times this season, which puts him in the 74.74 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Zonovan Knight RB 5-11 206

This season, Zonovan Knight has 545 rushing yards on 99 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Zonovan Knight picked up 111 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Emeka Emezie WR 6-3 220

This season, Emeka Emezie picked up 515 yards. He caught the ball 31 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Alim McNeill DT 6-2 320

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina State, Alim McNeill has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 78.88 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Terrell Dawkins DE 6-5 255

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina State, Terrell Dawkins has 25 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 9 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.52 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 97.86 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Jakeen Harris S 5-10 189

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina State, Jakeen Harris had 50 tackles which puts him in the 98.24 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.48 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jakeen Harris as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Cecil Powell CB 6-0 210

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina State, Cecil Powell had 38 tackles which puts him in the 98.58 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.24 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cecil Powell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Liberty vs. North Carolina State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Liberty 45 North Carolina State 23

Spread Pick: Liberty +5 -110 bet365
Moneyline Pick: Liberty +175 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 64.5 -110 SkyBook