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Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Appalachian State 12/4/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Louisiana-Lafayette visits Appalachian State on 12/4/2020 at 8:30PM.

Louisiana-Lafayette and Appalachian State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Louisiana-Lafayette has a record of 8-1 this season. Appalachian State is 7-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Louisiana-Lafayette Team Defense Preview

Louisiana-Lafayette has had 104 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.7 plays per drive. Louisiana-Lafayette lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Louisiana-Lafayette has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 44.86% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Louisiana-Lafayette can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.27 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Louisiana-Lafayette Team Offense Preview

Louisiana-Lafayette has had 100 total drives this season and they generate 5.51 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Louisiana-Lafayette passes the football 45.01% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.36 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Louisiana-Lafayette this season. Louisiana-Lafayette is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Appalachian State Team Defense Preview

Appalachian State has had 91 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.56 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Appalachian State opponents pass the football 50.79% of the time.Appalachian State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Appalachian State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Appalachian State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.8 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Appalachian State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Appalachian State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Appalachian State Team Offense Preview

Appalachian State has had 92 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.29 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Appalachian State. Any defense is in for a challenge with Appalachian State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 40.59% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Appalachian State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.27 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Appalachian State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Appalachian State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Louisiana-Lafayette Roster

The Players to Watch for Louisiana-Lafayette

Levi Lewis QB 5-10 184

This season, Levi Lewis has put up 2023 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 7 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 145.3thus far this season. Levi Lewis has thrown 7 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Levi Lewis has 233.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 89.65 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 37.0 times this season, which puts him in the 75.96 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Elijah Mitchell RB 5-11 218

This season, Elijah Mitchell has 656 rushing yards on 110 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Elijah Mitchell picked up 91 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Peter LeBlanc WR 6-2 190

This season, Peter LeBlanc picked up 334 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zi’Yon Hill DL 6-1 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Louisiana-Lafayette, Zi’Yon Hill has 37 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.61 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 90.48 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Bralen Trahan S 6-0 191.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisiana-Lafayette, Bralen Trahan had 39 tackles which puts him in the 90.84 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 87.64 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Bralen Trahan as a ball hawker was able to pick off 4 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.65 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Eric Garror CB 5-9 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisiana-Lafayette, Eric Garror had 21 tackles which puts him in the 80.0 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.15 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Eric Garror as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 98.09 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Appalachian State Roster

The Players to Watch for Appalachian State

Zac Thomas QB 6-1 210

This season, Zac Thomas has put up 1775 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 150.8thus far this season. Zac Thomas has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Zac Thomas has 273.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 92.04 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 67.0 times this season, which puts him in the 89.49 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Camerun Peoples RB 6-2 210

This season, Camerun Peoples has 639 rushing yards on 107 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Camerun Peoples picked up 14 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Malik Williams WR 5-10 185

This season, Malik Williams picked up 483 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Demetrius Taylor DL 6-1 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Appalachian State, Demetrius Taylor has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.38 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.23 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Kaiden Smith DB 6-1 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Appalachian State, Kaiden Smith had 42 tackles which puts him in the 92.81 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 73.44 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kaiden Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.3 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Appalachian State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Louisiana-Lafayette 26 Appalachian State 29

Spread Pick: Appalachian State -2 -110 SkyBook
Moneyline Pick: Appalachian State -135 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 50.5 -110 Bookmaker