College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Louisiana Tech vs. TCU 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Louisiana Tech visits TCU on 12/12/2020 at 7:00PM.

Louisiana Tech and TCU face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Louisiana Tech has a record of 5-3 this season. TCU is 5-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Louisiana Tech Team Defense Preview

Louisiana Tech has had 94 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.6 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Louisiana Tech has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Louisiana Tech opponents pass the football 49.81% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Louisiana Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.77 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Louisiana Tech is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Louisiana Tech Team Offense Preview

Louisiana Tech has had 94 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.32 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 54.40% of their play calls.Louisiana Tech tends to pass more than other teams.

Louisiana Tech struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Louisiana Tech can take credit for 2.56 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Louisiana Tech Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Louisiana Tech is a better passing team than running team this season.

TCU Team Defense Preview

TCU has had 119 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.57 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. TCU opponents pass the football 50.00% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

TCU opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.38 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

TCU has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!TCU is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

TCU Team Offense Preview

TCU has had 118 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.03 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 43.94% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

TCU struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.89 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the TCU Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. TCU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Louisiana Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Louisiana Tech

Luke Anthony QB 6-1 210

This season, Luke Anthony has put up 1318 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 139.4thus far this season. Luke Anthony has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Luke Anthony has -35.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 5.09 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 42.0 times this season, which puts him in the 77.31 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Israel Tucker RB 5-8 200

This season, Israel Tucker has 497 rushing yards on 119 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Israel Tucker picked up 51 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Adrian Hardy WR 6-2 205

This season, Adrian Hardy picked up 440 yards. He caught the ball 33 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

D.J. Jackson DT 6-0 317

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Louisiana Tech, D.J. Jackson has 1 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Milton Williams DL 6-4 278.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Louisiana Tech, Milton Williams has 39 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.02 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 93.64 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Bee Jay Williamson DB 6-1 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisiana Tech, Bee Jay Williamson had 50 tackles which puts him in the 94.77 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Bee Jay Williamson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 98.17 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The TCU Roster

The Players to Watch for TCU

Max Duggan QB 6-2 201

This season, Max Duggan has put up 1635 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 130.0thus far this season. Max Duggan has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Max Duggan has 513.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 97.84 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 112.0 times this season, which puts him in the 98.46 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 9.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Darwin Barlow RB 5-11 204

This season, Darwin Barlow has 427 rushing yards on 69 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Darwin Barlow picked up 43 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Quentin Johnston WR 6-4 193

This season, Quentin Johnston picked up 354 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrell Cooper DT 6-2 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Terrell Cooper has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 74.66 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ochaun Mathis DE 6-5 247.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for TCU, Ochaun Mathis has 35 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.02 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 97.86 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Trevon Moehrig-Woodard S 6-2 202.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, Trevon Moehrig-Woodard had 44 tackles which puts him in the 91.96 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Trevon Moehrig-Woodard as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson CB 5-9 177

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for TCU, Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson had 26 tackles which puts him in the 85.98 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

Louisiana Tech vs. TCU Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Louisiana Tech 26 TCU 23

Spread Pick: Louisiana Tech +21.5 -114 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Louisiana Tech +1025 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 52 -118 matchbook