College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Louisville vs. Boston College 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Louisville visits Boston College on 11/28/2020 at 4:00PM.

Louisville and Boston College face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Louisville has a record of 3-6 this season. Boston College is 5-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Louisville Team Defense Preview

Louisville has had 95 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.41 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Louisville opponents pass the football 41.25% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Louisville opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.79 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Louisville has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Louisville Team Offense Preview

Louisville has had 101 total drives this season and they generate 5.52 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Louisville is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 48.21% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Louisville struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Louisville can take credit for 2.89 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Louisville Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Louisville is a better passing team than running team this season.

Boston College Team Defense Preview

Boston College has had 90 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.79 plays per drive. Boston College lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Boston College has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 49.52% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Boston College is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.01 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Boston College has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boston College Team Offense Preview

Boston College has had 87 total drives this season and they generate 6.07 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Boston College. Boston College is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Boston College passes the football 55.49% of the time.Boston College tends to pass more than other teams.

Boston College is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Boston College can take credit for 2.46 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Boston College Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Boston College is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Louisville Roster

The Players to Watch for Louisville

Malik Cunningham QB 6-1 200

This season, Malik Cunningham has put up 2126 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 11 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 147.2thus far this season. Malik Cunningham has thrown 11 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Malik Cunningham has 438.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 98.03 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 101.0 times this season, which puts him in the 98.69 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Javian Hawkins RB 5-9 196

This season, Javian Hawkins has 822 rushing yards on 133 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Javian Hawkins picked up 127 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dez Fitzpatrick WR 6-2 210

This season, Dez Fitzpatrick picked up 574 yards. He caught the ball 29 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jared Goldwire DL 6-6 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Louisville, Jared Goldwire has 32 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.07 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 83.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Russ Yeast DB 5-11 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisville, Russ Yeast had 38 tackles which puts him in the 92.2 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Russ Yeast as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kei`Trel Clark CB 5-10 160

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisville, Kei`Trel Clark had 23 tackles which puts him in the 86.7 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kei`Trel Clark as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 83.79 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Boston College Roster

The Players to Watch for Boston College

Phil Jurkovec QB 6-5 226

This season, Phil Jurkovec has put up 2355 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.9thus far this season. Phil Jurkovec has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Phil Jurkovec has 130.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 83.93 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 72.0 times this season, which puts him in the 93.61 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

David Bailey RB 6-0 236

This season, David Bailey has 450 rushing yards on 117 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, David Bailey picked up 64 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zay Flowers WR 5-11 178

This season, Zay Flowers picked up 625 yards. He caught the ball 41 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 7 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chibueze Onwuka DT 5-11 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Chibueze Onwuka has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 75.12 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 90.85 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Marcus Valdez DE 6-0 258

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Marcus Valdez has 33 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 83.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Josh DeBerry DB 5-11 180.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boston College, Josh DeBerry had 33 tackles which puts him in the 89.07 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 75.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Josh DeBerry as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Louisville vs. Boston College Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Louisville 40 Boston College 34

Spread Pick: Louisville +1.5 -110 JazzSports
Moneyline Pick: Louisville +102 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 28 -105 Mybookie.ag