College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

LSU vs. Florida 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The LSU visits Florida on 12/12/2020 at 7:00PM.

LSU and Florida face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. LSU has a record of 3-5 this season. Florida is 8-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

LSU Team Defense Preview

LSU has had 95 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.6 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, LSU is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. LSU has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 55.15% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

LSU opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.91 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. LSU has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

LSU Team Offense Preview

LSU has had 93 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.19 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, LSU is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. LSU is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 58.59% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

LSU is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. LSU can take credit for 2.82 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the LSU Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. LSU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Florida Team Defense Preview

Florida has had 101 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.7 plays per drive. Florida lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Florida has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 52.95% of their opponents’ play calls.Florida tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.02 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Florida has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Florida Team Offense Preview

Florida has had 97 total drives this season and they generate 6.11 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Florida. Any defense is in for a challenge with Florida, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 57.50% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Florida has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.18 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Florida coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Florida has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Florida is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Florida is a better passing team than running team this season.

The LSU Roster

The Players to Watch for LSU

Myles Brennan QB 6-4 210

This season, Myles Brennan has put up 1112 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 154.7thus far this season. Myles Brennan has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Myles Brennan has -36.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 4.63 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 17.0 times this season, which puts him in the 49.23 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tyrion Davis-Prince RB 6-1 232

This season, Tyrion Davis-Prince has 391 rushing yards on 96 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tyrion Davis-Prince picked up 47 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrace Marshall Jr. WR 6-3 200

This season, Terrace Marshall Jr. picked up 731 yards. He caught the ball 48 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 10 receiving touchdowns this season.

Siaki Ika NT 6-4 340

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for LSU, Siaki Ika has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 53.59 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 74.66 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ali Gaye DL 6-6 262.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for LSU, Ali Gaye has 25 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.02 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 80.93 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

JaCoby Stevens S 6-2 230.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for LSU, JaCoby Stevens had 50 tackles which puts him in the 94.77 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 6 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 98.89 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. JaCoby Stevens as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Cordale Flott CB 6-1 165

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for LSU, Cordale Flott had 38 tackles which puts him in the 96.32 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.15 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Cordale Flott as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

The Florida Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida

Kyle Trask QB 6-5 240

This season, Kyle Trask has put up 3243 yards and 38 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 193.1thus far this season. Kyle Trask has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Trask has 78.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 71.45 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 39.0 times this season, which puts him in the 74.07 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Dameon Pierce RB 5-10 215

This season, Dameon Pierce has 417 rushing yards on 85 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Dameon Pierce picked up 117 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Trevon Grimes WR 6-4 218

This season, Trevon Grimes picked up 413 yards. He caught the ball 30 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tedarrell Slaton DL 6-5 340.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Florida, Tedarrell Slaton has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 76.3 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 80.93 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shawn Davis DB 6-0 206.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida, Shawn Davis had 39 tackles which puts him in the 88.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Shawn Davis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

LSU vs. Florida Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: LSU 29 Florida 44

Spread Pick: LSU +23.5 -110 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Florida -1121 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 67 -159 matchbook