College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

LSU vs. Texas A&M 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The LSU visits Texas A&M on 11/28/2020 at 7:00PM.

LSU and Texas A&M face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. LSU has a record of 3-3 this season. Texas A&M is 5-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

LSU Team Defense Preview

LSU has had 70 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.73 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, LSU is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. LSU has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. LSU opponents pass the football 56.80% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.19 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!LSU is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

LSU Team Offense Preview

LSU has had 70 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.39 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. LSU has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 56.76% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, LSU has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. LSU can take credit for 2.96 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against LSU this season. LSU is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. LSU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Texas A&M Team Defense Preview

Texas A&M has had 58 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.14 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Texas A&M cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Texas A&M has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Texas A&M opponents pass the football 57.87% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Texas A&M is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas A&M can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.09 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Texas A&M is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas A&M Team Offense Preview

Texas A&M has had 63 total drives this season and they generate 6.16 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Texas A&M. Any defense is in for a challenge with Texas A&M, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Texas A&M passes the football 49.48% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Texas A&M is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Texas A&M can take credit for 3.26 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Texas A&M has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Texas A&M is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Texas A&M has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The LSU Roster

The Players to Watch for LSU

Myles Brennan QB 6-4 210

This season, Myles Brennan has put up 1112 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 154.7thus far this season. Myles Brennan has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Myles Brennan has -36.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 4.92 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 17.0 times this season, which puts him in the 55.25 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tyrion Davis-Prince RB 6-1 232

This season, Tyrion Davis-Prince has 349 rushing yards on 77 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tyrion Davis-Prince picked up 41 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrace Marshall Jr. WR 6-3 200

This season, Terrace Marshall Jr. picked up 597 yards. He caught the ball 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 9 receiving touchdowns this season.

Siaki Ika NT 6-4 340

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for LSU, Siaki Ika has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 59.39 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 77.7 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ali Gaye DL 6-6 262

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for LSU, Ali Gaye has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.29 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.17 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

JaCoby Stevens S 6-2 230.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for LSU, JaCoby Stevens had 39 tackles which puts him in the 92.83 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 97.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 2 times last season. JaCoby Stevens as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Cordale Flott CB 6-1 165

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for LSU, Cordale Flott had 27 tackles which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 99.24 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cordale Flott as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Texas A&M Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas A&M

Kellen Mond QB 6-3 217

This season, Kellen Mond has put up 1468 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 158.9thus far this season. Kellen Mond has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kellen Mond has 112.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 80.98 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 34.0 times this season, which puts him in the 75.74 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Spiller RB 6-1 225

This season, Isaiah Spiller has 643 rushing yards on 103 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Isaiah Spiller picked up 87 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chase Lane WR 6-0 190

This season, Chase Lane picked up 311 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jayden Peevy DL 6-6 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Texas A&M, Jayden Peevy has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.17 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Demani Richardson DB 6-1 215.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas A&M, Demani Richardson had 31 tackles which puts him in the 86.96 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 88.98 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Demani Richardson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

LSU vs. Texas A&M Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: LSU 26 Texas A&M 39

Spread Pick: LSU +15.5 -110 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Texas A&M -550 BetOnline
Total Pick: Over 62 -106 Pinnacle Sports