College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Maryland vs. Penn State 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Maryland visits Penn State on 11/7/2020 at 3:30PM.

Maryland and Penn State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Maryland has a record of 1-1 this season. Penn State is 0-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Maryland Team Defense Preview

Maryland has had 20 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.4 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Maryland cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Maryland message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 32.81% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.27 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Maryland is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Maryland Team Offense Preview

Maryland has had 18 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.06 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Maryland is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Any defense is in for a challenge with Maryland, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Maryland passes the football 60.44% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Maryland is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Maryland can take credit for 3.35 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Maryland Offense this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Maryland is a better passing team than running team this season.

Penn State Team Defense Preview

Penn State has had 26 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.23 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Penn State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Penn State opponents pass the football 51.47% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.54 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Penn State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Penn State Team Offense Preview

Penn State has had 25 total drives this season and they generate 5.56 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Penn State has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 48.92% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Penn State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Penn State can take credit for 3.13 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Penn State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Penn State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Penn State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Maryland Roster

The Players to Watch for Maryland

Taulia Tagovailoa QB 5-11 205

This season, Taulia Tagovailoa has put up 488 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 138.2thus far this season. Taulia Tagovailoa has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Taulia Tagovailoa has 48.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 68.43 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 11.0 times this season, which puts him in the 52.35 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jake Funk RB 5-10 205

This season, Jake Funk has 251 rushing yards on 27 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jake Funk picked up 31 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dontay Demus WR 6-3 217

This season, Dontay Demus picked up 142 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Lawtez Rogers DL 6-4 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Maryland, Lawtez Rogers has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jordan Mosley DB 6-1 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Maryland, Jordan Mosley had 17 tackles which puts him in the 73.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jordan Mosley as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Penn State Roster

The Players to Watch for Penn State

Sean Clifford QB 6-2 217

This season, Sean Clifford has put up 519 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 152.9thus far this season. Sean Clifford has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sean Clifford has 124.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 87.45 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 35.0 times this season, which puts him in the 82.55 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Devyn Ford RB 5-11 198

This season, Devyn Ford has 105 rushing yards on 28 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Devyn Ford picked up 11 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jahan Dotson WR 5-11 182

This season, Jahan Dotson picked up 238 yards. He caught the ball 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

PJ Mustipher DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Penn State, PJ Mustipher has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 28.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jayson Oweh DE 6-5 252

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Penn State, Jayson Oweh has 8 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jaquan Brisker S 6-1 212

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Penn State, Jaquan Brisker had 11 tackles which puts him in the 58.82 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jaquan Brisker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Joey Porter Jr. CB 6-2 193

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Penn State, Joey Porter Jr. had 10 tackles which puts him in the 64.5 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 82.34 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Joey Porter Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Maryland vs. Penn State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Maryland 16 Penn State 44

Spread Pick: Penn State -26 -106 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Penn State -1452 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 64.5 -105 5Dimes