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Massachusetts vs. Florida Atlantic 11/20/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Massachusetts visits Florida Atlantic on 11/20/2020 at 8:00PM.

Massachusetts and Florida Atlantic face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Massachusetts has a record of 0-2 this season. Florida Atlantic is 4-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Massachusetts Team Defense Preview

Massachusetts has had 15 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.73 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Massachusetts message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 45.35% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Massachusetts can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.97 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Massachusetts has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Massachusetts Team Offense Preview

Massachusetts has had 15 total drives this season and they generate 4.07 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Massachusetts is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Massachusetts passes the football 44.26% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Massachusetts struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Massachusetts can take credit for 2.22 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Massachusetts Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Massachusetts is a better passing team than running team this season.

Florida Atlantic Team Defense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 44 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.82 plays per drive. Florida Atlantic lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Florida Atlantic opponents pass the football 55.08% of the time.Florida Atlantic tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Florida Atlantic is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.91 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Florida Atlantic has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Florida Atlantic should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Florida Atlantic Team Offense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 43 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.44 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Florida Atlantic passes the football 38.03% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Florida Atlantic is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Florida Atlantic can take credit for 3.08 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Florida Atlantic coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida Atlantic Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Massachusetts Roster

The Players to Watch for Massachusetts

Will Koch QB 6-3 200

This season, Will Koch has put up 99 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.2thus far this season. Will Koch has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Will Koch has 46.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 63.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 13.0 times this season, which puts him in the 51.72 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Ellis Merriweather RB 6-1 220

This season, Ellis Merriweather has 52 rushing yards on 26 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Ellis Merriweather picked up 4 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Samuel Emilus WR 6-1 200

This season, Samuel Emilus picked up 57 yards. He caught the ball 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Avien Peah DL 6-2 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Massachusetts, Avien Peah has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 81.51 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Te’Rai Powell DB 6-0 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Massachusetts, Te’Rai Powell had 12 tackles which puts him in the 57.28 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Te’Rai Powell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.52 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Josh Wallace CB 6-1 170

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Massachusetts, Josh Wallace had 8 tackles which puts him in the 51.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.15 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Josh Wallace as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.01 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Florida Atlantic Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida Atlantic

Nick Tronti QB 6-2 215

This season, Nick Tronti has put up 490 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 110.4thus far this season. Nick Tronti has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Tronti has 85.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 76.63 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 45.0 times this season, which puts him in the 84.54 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Malcolm Davidson RB 5-10 205

This season, Malcolm Davidson has 283 rushing yards on 35 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Malcolm Davidson picked up 21 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

T.J. Chase WR 6-1 190

This season, T.J. Chase picked up 189 yards. He caught the ball 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcel Southall DT 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida Atlantic, Marcel Southall has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 62.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.37 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Leighton McCarthy DE 6-3 225

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida Atlantic, Leighton McCarthy has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.63 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Ahman Ross S 5-11 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida Atlantic, Ahman Ross had 30 tackles which puts him in the 87.85 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.07 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ahman Ross as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.52 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Teja Young CB 5-11 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida Atlantic, Teja Young had 26 tackles which puts him in the 93.31 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.15 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Teja Young as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 84.87 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Massachusetts vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Massachusetts 14 Florida Atlantic 41

Spread Pick: Massachusetts +33.5 -106 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Florida Atlantic -4934 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 50.5 -158 matchbook