College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Miami (FL) vs. Duke 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Miami (FL) visits Duke on 12/5/2020 at 8:00PM.

Miami (FL) and Duke face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Miami (FL) has a record of 7-1 this season. Duke is 2-7 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Miami (FL) Team Defense Preview

Miami (FL) has had 97 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.34 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Miami (FL) has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 54.25% of their opponents’ play calls.Miami (FL) tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Miami (FL) opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Miami (FL) can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.77 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Miami (FL) should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Miami (FL) has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Miami (FL) Team Offense Preview

Miami (FL) has had 97 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.74 plays per drive. Miami (FL) runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Miami (FL) is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Miami (FL) passes the football 50.27% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Miami (FL) is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Miami (FL) can take credit for 2.73 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Miami (FL) Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Miami (FL) is a better passing team than running team this season.

Duke Team Defense Preview

Duke has had 105 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.92 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Duke is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Duke has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 48.16% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.28 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Duke has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Duke Team Offense Preview

Duke has had 107 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.12 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Duke is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Duke passes the football 52.37% of the time.Duke tends to pass more than other teams.

Duke is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Duke can take credit for 2.69 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Duke Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Duke is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Miami (FL) Roster

The Players to Watch for Miami (FL)

D’Eriq King QB 5-11 202

This season, D’Eriq King has put up 2083 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 149.1thus far this season. D’Eriq King has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, D’Eriq King has 421.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 97.46 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 100.0 times this season, which puts him in the 98.1 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Cam’ron Harris RB 5-10 210

This season, Cam’ron Harris has 459 rushing yards on 95 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Cam’ron Harris picked up 87 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Mike Harley WR 5-11 180

This season, Mike Harley picked up 548 yards. He caught the ball 41 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaelan Phillips DL 6-5 266

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Miami (FL), Jaelan Phillips has 37 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.34 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 96.93 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Bubba Bolden S 6-3 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Miami (FL), Bubba Bolden had 43 tackles which puts him in the 93.26 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 97.02 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Bubba Bolden as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

AL Blades CB 6-1 192

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Miami (FL), AL Blades had 29 tackles which puts him in the 93.11 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. AL Blades as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.13 percentile among Corners this season.

The Duke Roster

The Players to Watch for Duke

Chase Brice QB 6-2 235

This season, Chase Brice has put up 1987 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 13 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 108.6thus far this season. Chase Brice has thrown 13 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chase Brice has 63.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 68.25 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 76.0 times this season, which puts him in the 92.7 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Mataeo Durant RB 6-1 195

This season, Mataeo Durant has 642 rushing yards on 97 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Mataeo Durant picked up 107 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jake Bobo WR 6-4 215

This season, Jake Bobo picked up 313 yards. He caught the ball 26 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Derrick Tangelo DT 6-2 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Duke, Derrick Tangelo has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.37 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 89.68 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Chris Rumph II DE 6-3 235

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Duke, Chris Rumph II has 44 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.38 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 99.64 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Marquis Waters S 6-0 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Duke, Marquis Waters had 59 tackles which puts him in the 98.03 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 6 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Marquis Waters as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Jeremiah Lewis CB 6-0 190

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Duke, Jeremiah Lewis had 33 tackles which puts him in the 95.45 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 98.09 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jeremiah Lewis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.13 percentile among Corners this season.

Miami (FL) vs. Duke Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Miami (FL) 29 Duke 15

Spread Pick: Duke +15 -105 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Miami (FL) -542 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 60.5 -116 Pinnacle Sports