NBA Picks, Previews, and Predictions

Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors Predictions and Preview for 4/3/2022

Miami Heat takes on Toronto Raptors on 4/3/2022 at 07:10 PM.

The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors face off in an important game for both teams. Miami Heat has a record of 50-28 this regular season. Toronto Raptors is 45-32 this regular season. Both have players to meet and know.

Miami Heat Team Defense Preview




They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. A defensive effiency rating of 108.7 would certainly justify such praise. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating.

This is a decent defensive team that is able to force some bad shots. Their defensive efforts at keeping offenses from getting to the rim should not go unnoticed. There is an inconsistent effort to keeping opponents from scoring at the rim though.

Their ability to create live ball turnovers is above average.

Miami Heat Team Offense Preview




You should not have high expectations considering their offensive efficiency is 113.2, but relatively speaking it is still a slightly above-average offense. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. This is a team that likes to play grinders. They want to execute in half court and frustrate opponents in their offensive half court situations.

Their True Shooting Percentage is .581 which is considered to be above average. Their Effective Field Goal Rate is .543, which is considered to be slightly above average. They attempt .420 of their shots from three point range. They fall right around average in the NBA. They made .375 of their shots from three point range. They are an above average three point shooting team. They made .810 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They are an above average Free Throw shooting team.

They successfully retrieved 23.6% of their missed shots. They are a slightly above average rebounding team.

Toronto Raptors Team Defense Preview

Their defensive efficiency is 110.3, which means they have an above average defense relative to other teams in the NBA. Now that we know what the overall defense looks like, it is time to understand why this defense is the way it is.

They are an average team when it comes to the shot quality of their opponents. They are quite average in their ability to keep opponents from scoring at the rim. There is an inconsistent effort to keeping opponents from scoring at the rim though.

This team has strong on-ball defenders and players who can attack the passing lanes.

Toronto Raptors Team Offense Preview


You should not have high expectations considering their offensive efficiency is 112.8, but relatively speaking it is still a slightly above-average offense. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. This is a team that likes to play grinders. They want to execute in half court and frustrate opponents in their offensive half court situations.

Their True Shooting Percentage is .543 which is terrible. Their Effective Field Goal Rate is .511, which is terrible. They attempt .374 of their shots from three point range. They take threes less often than many in the NBA. They made .351 of their shots from three point range. They would be considered below average from beyond the arc. They made .756 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They would be considered below average from the charity stripe.

They were able to get back 28.4% of their missed shots. They are a strong offensive rebounding team.

The Miami Heat Roster

The Players to Watch for Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry 6-0 196 PG

He is an important offensive option on this team this season.

He does not attack the rim as much as he should. There is nothing special regarding his shot selection on the perimeter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. He does not do the things he needs to do to get himself to the Free Throw Line consistently. He is a generally average Free Throw Shooter.

He is one of the strongest distributors in the NBA. He will be looking to cut down on his turnovers, better decision-making and more alertness on the offensive end should help. He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.

Tyler Herro 6-5 195 SG

He is an important offensive option on this team this season.

He does not attack the rim as much as he should. He is not considered a frequent three point shooter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. He is a bit more of a jump shot oriented player so he does not get fouled as much. He is a generally average Free Throw Shooter.

He is an average distributor in this offense. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.

Duncan Robinson 6-7 215 SG

He is a general rotation player on this team. Nothing too special thus far.

He likes to drift out there on offense, he is not very active near the rim. He has a strong tendency to take three point shots. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. He is a bit more of a jump shot oriented player so he does not get fouled as much. He is a generally average Free Throw Shooter.

He is a below-average distributor, but this may have a lot to do with offensive role.He has done a better job than most protecting the basketball.He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.

The Toronto Raptors Roster

The Players to Watch for Toronto Raptors

Scottie Barnes 6-9 227 PF

He is an important offensive option on this team this season.

He does not attack the rim as much as he should. He is not considered a frequent three point shooter. He is a below average three point shooter. He is a bit more of a jump shot oriented player so he does not get fouled as much. At the Free Throw Line, he is an above average Free Throw shooter.

He is an average distributor in this offense. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. On the offensive glass, he is generally average. Nothing stands out.

Pascal Siakam 6-9 230 PF

He is a positive impactful starter who makes an impact for this team.

He does not attack the rim as much as he should. He is not considered a frequent three point shooter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. He does not do the things he needs to do to get himself to the Free Throw Line consistently. At the Free Throw Line, he is an above average Free Throw shooter.

He is an average distributor in this offense. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.

Fred VanVleet 6-1 197 PG

He is an important offensive option on this team this season.

He likes to drift out there on offense, he is not very active near the rim. There is nothing special regarding his shot selection on the perimeter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. He is a bit more of a jump shot oriented player so he does not get fouled as much. He is a generally average Free Throw Shooter.

He sets up his teammates in an above-average fashion. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.

Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Miami Heat 103 Toronto Raptors 104

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Moneyline Pick: Toronto Raptors -150 Bovada
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