NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets 11/29/2020 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Miami Dolphins visit the New York Jets on 11/29/2020 at 1:00PM.

Miami and N.Y. Jets face off in a critical regular season game as part of this unpredictable and chaotic 2020 NFL Season. Miami has a record of 6-4 this season. N.Y. Jets is 0-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Miami Team Defense Preview

Miami yields 6.0 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 33.9 yards per drive, and opponents score 1.81 points per offensive possession. 29.5% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 15.2% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 24.9 and these drives usually take up 2:40 of time.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 86.8 against Miami and 2.5% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Miami has forced a sack rate of 5.8% this season.

Examining Miami in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 121 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 41 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 33.9%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 19 fourth down conversion attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 8 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 42.1%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 32 Red Zone entrances this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 21 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 65.6%.

Miami Team Offense Preview

Miami has run 5.7 plays per drive and this offense averages 28.3 yards per drive, and this offense puts up 2.21 points per drive. 43.1% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 10.1% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their possessions start on average at their Own 32.4 and these drives typically last 2:46.

5.1% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Miami and on 2.6% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Miami has yielded 20 sacks this season and there were 112 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

Miami rushed for 3.6 yards per carry and for 94.4 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 8 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Miami and examine various situations. They have had 120 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 47 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 39.2%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 4 fourth down conversion attempts this season and have converted 3 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 75.0%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 39 Red Zone entrances this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 24 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 61.5%.

N.Y. Jets Team Defense Preview

N.Y. Jets yields 6.4 plays per drive, this defense gives up 36.7 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.57 points per offensive possession. 47.7% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 10.1% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 30.9 and these drives typically last 3:04.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 105.5 against N.Y. Jets and 1.9% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.N.Y. Jets has caused a sack rate of 3.7% this season.

Examining N.Y. Jets in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 123 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 56 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 45.5%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 9 fourth down conversion attempts this season and opponents have converted 5 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 55.6%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 40 Red Zone entrances this season and their opponents have converted 21 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 52.5%.

N.Y. Jets Team Offense Preview

N.Y. Jets has run 5.7 plays per drive and this offense averages 25.3 yards per drive, and they score 1.35 points per offensive possession. On 27.4% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but 10.4% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their possessions start on average at their Own 24.4 and these drives usually take up 2:30 of time.

2.8% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by N.Y. Jets and on 2.8% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. N.Y. Jets has yielded 27 sacks this season and this has resulted in 209 yards lost.

They rushed for 4.2 yards per carry and for 98.6 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 4 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the N.Y. Jets and examine various situations. They have had 127 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 41 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 32.3%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 15 fourth down attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 5 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 33.3%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 21 Red Zone entrances this season and have converted 8 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 38.1%.

The Miami Roster

The Players to Watch for Miami

Ryan Fitzpatrick QB 6-2 228

This season, Ryan Fitzpatrick has put up 1652 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 92.2thus far this season. Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ryan Fitzpatrick has 141 rushing yards, which puts him in the 75.76 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 27 times this season, which puts him in the 72.73 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2 rushing touchdowns this season.

Salvon Ahmed RB 5-11 196

This season, Salvon Ahmed has 166 rushing yards on 40 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Salvon Ahmed picked up 36 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

DeVante Parker WR 6-3 216

This season, DeVante Parker picked up 523 yards. He caught the ball 44 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Raekwon Davis NT 6-6 311

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Miami, Raekwon Davis has 11 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 20.91 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Emmanuel Ogbah DE 6-4 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Miami, Emmanuel Ogbah has 18 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 97.41 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 3.0 fumbles this season.

Eric Rowe SS 6-1 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Miami, Eric Rowe had 44 tackles which puts him in the 89.13 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Eric Rowe as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 56.78 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Nik Needham CB 6-0 193

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Miami, Nik Needham had 27 tackles which puts him in the 66.3 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Nik Needham as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 24.14 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The N.Y. Jets Roster

The Players to Watch for N.Y. Jets

Sam Darnold QB 6-3 225

This season, Sam Darnold has put up 1045 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 65.9thus far this season. Sam Darnold has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Darnold has 138 rushing yards, which puts him in the 72.73 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18 times this season, which puts him in the 51.52 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

Frank Gore RB 5-9 212

This season, Frank Gore has 447 rushing yards on 123 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Frank Gore picked up 58 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jamison Crowder WR 5-9 177

This season, Jamison Crowder picked up 425 yards. He caught the ball 32 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Quinnen Williams NT 6-3 303

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for N.Y. Jets, Quinnen Williams has 18 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 91.82 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1.0 fumbles this season.

Henry Anderson DE 6-6 301

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for N.Y. Jets, Henry Anderson has 10 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 10.34 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Marcus Maye FS 6-0 207

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for N.Y. Jets, Marcus Maye had 28 tackles which puts him in the 44.2 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Marcus Maye as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 56.78 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Miami Dolphins 25 New York Jets 18

Spread Pick: Miami -6.5 -105 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Miami -265 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 44.5 -100 Pinnacle Sports