College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Michigan vs. Indiana 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Michigan visits Indiana on 11/7/2020 at 12:00PM.

Michigan and Indiana face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Michigan has a record of 1-1 this season. Indiana is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Michigan Team Defense Preview

Michigan has had 22 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.55 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Michigan has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 44.26% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Michigan is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.77 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Michigan is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Michigan Team Offense Preview

Michigan has had 21 total drives this season and they generate 6.0 plays per drive. Michigan runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Michigan has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 55.56% of their play calls.Michigan tends to pass more than other teams.

Michigan struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Michigan can take credit for 2.91 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Michigan has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Michigan is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Michigan has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Indiana Team Defense Preview

Indiana has had 27 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.59 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Indiana has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Indiana opponents pass the football 48.34% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Indiana can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.53 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Indiana has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Indiana Team Offense Preview

Indiana has had 28 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.21 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Indiana is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 52.54% of their play calls.Indiana tends to pass more than other teams.

Indiana is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Indiana can take credit for 1.68 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Indiana Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Indiana is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Michigan Roster

The Players to Watch for Michigan

Joe Milton QB 6-5 243

This season, Joe Milton has put up 525 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 129.3thus far this season. Joe Milton has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Joe Milton has 111.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 84.71 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 20.0 times this season, which puts him in the 66.67 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Hassan Haskins RB 6-1 220

This season, Hassan Haskins has 138 rushing yards on 14 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Hassan Haskins picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ronnie Bell WR 6-0 190

This season, Ronnie Bell picked up 120 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Aidan Hutchinson DL 6-6 269

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Michigan, Aidan Hutchinson has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Brad Hawkins DB 6-1 218

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Michigan, Brad Hawkins had 15 tackles which puts him in the 67.59 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Brad Hawkins as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Indiana Roster

The Players to Watch for Indiana

Michael Penix Jr. QB 6-3 218

This season, Michael Penix Jr. has put up 408 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.4thus far this season. Michael Penix Jr. has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Michael Penix Jr. has 2.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 34.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 10.0 times this season, which puts him in the 49.41 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Stevie Scott RB 6-2 231

This season, Stevie Scott has 138 rushing yards on 41 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Stevie Scott picked up 6 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Whop Philyor WR 5-11 180

This season, Whop Philyor picked up 173 yards. He caught the ball 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

James Head Jr. DL 6-5 261

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Indiana, James Head Jr. has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jamar Johnson DB 6-1 197

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Indiana, Jamar Johnson had 15 tackles which puts him in the 67.59 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jamar Johnson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Michigan vs. Indiana Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Michigan 30 Indiana 22

Spread Pick: Michigan -3.5 -112 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Michigan -170 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 54.5 -105 Pinnacle Sports