College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Middle Tennessee visits Marshall on 11/14/2020 at 12:00PM.

Middle Tennessee and Marshall face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Middle Tennessee has a record of 2-5 this season. Marshall is 6-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Middle Tennessee Team Defense Preview

Middle Tennessee has had 83 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.67 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Middle Tennessee has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 45.65% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Middle Tennessee can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.2 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Middle Tennessee has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Middle Tennessee Team Offense Preview

Middle Tennessee has had 80 total drives this season and they generate 5.53 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Middle Tennessee is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Middle Tennessee passes the football 54.07% of the time.Middle Tennessee tends to pass more than other teams.

Middle Tennessee struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Middle Tennessee can take credit for 2.43 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Middle Tennessee Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Middle Tennessee is a better passing team than running team this season.

Marshall Team Defense Preview

Marshall has had 58 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.67 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Marshall is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Marshall opponents pass the football 56.46% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Marshall is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Marshall can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.47 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Marshall is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Marshall Team Offense Preview

Marshall has had 56 total drives this season and they generate 5.73 plays per drive. Marshall runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Marshall has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 43.61% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Marshall can take credit for 3.41 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Marshall has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Marshall is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Marshall has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Middle Tennessee Roster

The Players to Watch for Middle Tennessee

Asher O’Hara QB 6-0 185

This season, Asher O’Hara has put up 1509 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.7thus far this season. Asher O’Hara has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Asher O’Hara has 476.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 99.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 139.0 times this season, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Chaton Mobley RB 6-1 229

This season, Chaton Mobley has 299 rushing yards on 59 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Chaton Mobley picked up 46 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jarrin Pierce WR 5-11 190

This season, Jarrin Pierce picked up 451 yards. He caught the ball 46 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Rakavian Poydras DT 6-1 268

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Middle Tennessee, Rakavian Poydras has 32 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 62.06 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.43 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jordan Ferguson DE 6-2 255

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Middle Tennessee, Jordan Ferguson has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.78 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Gregory Grate Jr S 5-11 186

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Middle Tennessee, Gregory Grate Jr had 61 tackles which puts him in the 99.86 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Gregory Grate Jr as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.28 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Decorian Patterson CB 6-0 184

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Middle Tennessee, Decorian Patterson had 34 tackles which puts him in the 98.47 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 99.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 2 times last season. Decorian Patterson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.08 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Marshall Roster

The Players to Watch for Marshall

Grant Wells QB 6-2 210

This season, Grant Wells has put up 1338 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 155.9thus far this season. Grant Wells has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Grant Wells has 116.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 85.23 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 28.0 times this season, which puts him in the 74.73 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Brenden Knox RB 6-0 223

This season, Brenden Knox has 674 rushing yards on 132 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Brenden Knox picked up 78 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Broc Thompson WR 6-2 188

This season, Broc Thompson picked up 228 yards. He caught the ball 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Darius Hodge DL 6-2 245

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Marshall, Darius Hodge has 25 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.34 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 98.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Brandon Drayton S 6-3 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Marshall, Brandon Drayton had 26 tackles which puts him in the 85.53 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Brandon Drayton as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 87.26 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Middle Tennessee 18 Marshall 36

Spread Pick: Middle Tennessee +24 -109 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Marshall -1431 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 56.5 -116 matchbook