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Nevada vs. Hawaii 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Nevada visits Hawaii on 11/28/2020 at 11:00PM.

Nevada and Hawaii face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Nevada has a record of 5-0 this season. Hawaii is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Nevada Team Defense Preview

Nevada has had 61 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.16 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Nevada opponents pass the football 52.06% of the time.Nevada tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Nevada is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Nevada can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Nevada has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Nevada Team Offense Preview

Nevada has had 61 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.3 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Nevada is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Nevada passes the football 67.49% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Nevada struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Nevada can take credit for 2.36 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Nevada Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Nevada is a better passing team than running team this season.

Hawaii Team Defense Preview

Hawaii has had 62 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.37 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Hawaii has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 38.74% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Hawaii opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Hawaii can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Hawaii has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Hawaii Team Offense Preview

Hawaii has had 62 total drives this season and they generate 5.34 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 54.98% of their play calls.Hawaii tends to pass more than other teams.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Hawaii has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.09 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Hawaii coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Hawaii Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Hawaii has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Nevada Roster

The Players to Watch for Nevada

Carson Strong QB 6-4 215

This season, Carson Strong has put up 1805 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 160.4thus far this season. Carson Strong has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Carson Strong has -80.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 0.33 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 16.0 times this season, which puts him in the 53.44 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Toa Taua RB 5-9 210

This season, Toa Taua has 307 rushing yards on 52 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Toa Taua picked up 77 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Romeo Doubs WR 6-2 200

This season, Romeo Doubs picked up 770 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 9 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dom Peterson DT 6-0 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Nevada, Dom Peterson has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 98.12 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Kameron Toomer DE 6-3 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Nevada, Kameron Toomer has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.1 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.17 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tyson Williams DB 5-9 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Nevada, Tyson Williams had 32 tackles which puts him in the 88.04 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tyson Williams as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Hawaii Roster

The Players to Watch for Hawaii

Chevan Cordeiro QB 6-1 190

This season, Chevan Cordeiro has put up 1211 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 123.6thus far this season. Chevan Cordeiro has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chevan Cordeiro has 266.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 92.46 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 70.0 times this season, which puts him in the 92.3 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Miles Reed RB 5-8 190

This season, Miles Reed has 208 rushing yards on 44 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Miles Reed picked up 76 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jared Smart WR 6-0 190

This season, Jared Smart picked up 202 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Justus Tavai DL 6-3 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Hawaii, Justus Tavai has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.1 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.17 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Khoury Bethley DB 5-10 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Hawaii, Khoury Bethley had 32 tackles which puts him in the 88.04 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 95.56 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Khoury Bethley as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Nevada vs. Hawaii Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Nevada 35 Hawaii 26

Spread Pick: Nevada -4 -110 Mybookie.ag
Moneyline Pick: Nevada -250 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 30 -110 Mybookie.ag