NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans 11/22/2020 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The New England Patriots visit the Houston Texans on 11/22/2020 at 1:00PM.

New England and Houston face off in a critical regular season game as part of this unpredictable and chaotic 2020 NFL Season. New England has a record of 4-5 this season. Houston is 2-7 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

New England Team Defense Preview

New England yields 6.2 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 36.2 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.36 points per offensive possession. On 44.8% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but on 17.2% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 26.4 yard line, they typically last 3:03.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 95.1 and on 4.5% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. New England has forced a sack rate of 5.0% this season.

Examining New England in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 95 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 40 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 42.1%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 3 fourth down attempts this season and opponents have converted 1 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 33.3%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 28 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and their opponents have converted 17 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 60.7%.

New England Team Offense Preview

New England has 6.7 plays per drive, this offense averages 35.8 yards per drive, and they score 2.00 points per offensive possession. On 38.2% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but on 16.9% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their possessions start on average at their Own 26.5 and these drives typically last 3:05.

1.9% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by New England and 4.3% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.New England has given up 16 sacks this season and this has resulted in 98 yards lost.

New England rushed for 4.8 yards per carry and for 161.1 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 11 times this season.

Examining New England in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 102 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 44 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 43.1%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 10 fourth down attempts this season and have converted 7 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 70.0%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 30 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 17 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 56.7%.

Houston Team Defense Preview

Houston yields 6.7 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 39.6 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 2.65 points per drive. On 45.2% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 5.4% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 27.2 and these drives typically last 3:14.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 109.0 and 0.7% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Houston has caused a sack rate of 6.0% this season.

We will get more situational with Houston and examine various situations. They have faced 121 third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 58 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 47.9%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 11 fourth down attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 7 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 63.6%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 38 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 23 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 60.5%.

Houston Team Offense Preview

Houston has 6.0 plays per drive, this offense averages 35.0 yards per drive, and they score 2.23 points per offensive possession. 40.7% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 8.8% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 26.7 yard line, they usually take up 2:40 of time.

6.0% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Houston and on 1.7% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Houston has yielded 26 sacks this season and there were 140 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 3.9 yards per carry and for 87.9 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 9 times this season.

Examining Houston in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 110 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 46 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 41.8%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 10 fourth down attempts this season and have converted 6 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 60.0%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 25 Red Zone entrances this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 15 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 60.0%.

The New England Roster

The Players to Watch for New England

The Houston Roster

The Players to Watch for Houston

New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: New England Patriots 22 Houston Texans 23

Spread Pick: Houston +2.5 -115 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Houston +122 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 49 -111 Pinnacle Sports