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New Mexico vs. Air Force 11/20/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The New Mexico visits Air Force on 11/20/2020 at 9:30PM.

New Mexico and Air Force face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. New Mexico has a record of 0-3 this season. Air Force is 1-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

New Mexico Team Defense Preview

New Mexico has had 40 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.95 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, New Mexico is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. New Mexico has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. New Mexico opponents pass the football 64.14% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

New Mexico opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? New Mexico can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.66 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. New Mexico is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

New Mexico Team Offense Preview

New Mexico has had 40 total drives this season and they generate 5.43 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. New Mexico is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. New Mexico passes the football 49.31% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, New Mexico has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.08 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The New Mexico coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the New Mexico Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. New Mexico has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Air Force Team Defense Preview

Air Force has had 29 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.76 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Air Force is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Air Force has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Air Force opponents pass the football 45.65% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.62 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Air Force is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Air Force Team Offense Preview

Air Force has had 30 total drives this season and they generate 6.03 plays per drive. Air Force runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Air Force, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Air Force passes the football 17.13% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Air Force can take credit for 3.74 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Air Force has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Air Force has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The New Mexico Roster

The Players to Watch for New Mexico

Tevaka Tuioti QB 6-2 194

This season, Tevaka Tuioti has put up 475 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 133.5thus far this season. Tevaka Tuioti has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tevaka Tuioti has 140.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 85.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 19.0 times this season, which puts him in the 61.68 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Bobby Cole RB 5-9 211

This season, Bobby Cole has 226 rushing yards on 39 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Bobby Cole picked up 22 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jordan Kress WR 6-0 193

This season, Jordan Kress picked up 170 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Elmer Pauni NT 6-3 297

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Mexico, Elmer Pauni has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.37 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Joey Noble DE 6-3 236

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Mexico, Joey Noble has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.38 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tavian Combs S 6-2 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Mexico, Tavian Combs had 24 tackles which puts him in the 78.71 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.23 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tavian Combs as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.52 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tony Collier CB 5-11 165

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Mexico, Tony Collier had 12 tackles which puts him in the 66.4 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 80.57 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tony Collier as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.01 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Air Force Roster

The Players to Watch for Air Force

Haaziq Daniels QB 6-1 200

This season, Haaziq Daniels has put up 133 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 105.7thus far this season. Haaziq Daniels has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Haaziq Daniels has 134.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 84.88 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 26.0 times this season, which puts him in the 70.1 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Brad Roberts RB 5-11 200

This season, Brad Roberts has 103 rushing yards on 10 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Brad Roberts picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Brandon Lewis WR 5-9 175

This season, Brandon Lewis picked up 36 yards. He caught the ball 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

George Silvanic DT 6-5 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Air Force, George Silvanic has 15 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 92.2 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Michael Purcell DE 6-4 245

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Air Force, Michael Purcell has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Corvan Taylor DB 6-2 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Air Force, Corvan Taylor had 15 tackles which puts him in the 62.94 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.23 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Corvan Taylor as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.41 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Elisha Palm CB 5-8 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Air Force, Elisha Palm had 19 tackles which puts him in the 81.05 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.31 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Elisha Palm as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 84.87 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

New Mexico vs. Air Force Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: New Mexico 26 Air Force 34

Spread Pick: Air Force -7 -108 matchbook
Moneyline Pick: Air Force -280 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 55 -105 BetOnline