College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

New Mexico vs. Hawaii 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The New Mexico visits Hawaii on 11/7/2020 at 11:00PM.

New Mexico and Hawaii face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. New Mexico has a record of 0-1 this season. Hawaii is 1-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

New Mexico Team Defense Preview

New Mexico has had 13 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.31 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. New Mexico has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 65.22% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

New Mexico is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.13 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. New Mexico is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

New Mexico Team Offense Preview

New Mexico has had 13 total drives this season and they generate 5.31 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 49.28% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, New Mexico has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.93 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the New Mexico Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. New Mexico has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Hawaii Team Defense Preview

Hawaii has had 24 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.88 plays per drive. Hawaii lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Hawaii has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 34.75% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.08 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Hawaii has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Hawaii Team Offense Preview

Hawaii has had 22 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.0 plays per drive. Hawaii runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Hawaii is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 47.73% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.75 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Hawaii Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Hawaii has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The New Mexico Roster

The Players to Watch for New Mexico

Tevaka Tuioti QB 6-2 194

This season, Tevaka Tuioti has put up 294 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 140.8thus far this season. Tevaka Tuioti has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tevaka Tuioti has 69.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 74.12 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 14.0 times this season, which puts him in the 58.04 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Bobby Cole RB 5-9 211

This season, Bobby Cole has 40 rushing yards on 8 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Bobby Cole picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Andrew Erickson WR 6-2 194

This season, Andrew Erickson picked up 72 yards. He caught the ball 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Elmer Pauni NT 6-3 297

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Mexico, Elmer Pauni has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 28.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Omar Darame DE 6-3 273

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Mexico, Omar Darame has 2 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tavian Combs S 6-2 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Mexico, Tavian Combs had 10 tackles which puts him in the 56.67 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tavian Combs as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Nic Wilson CB 5-10 178

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Mexico, Nic Wilson had 7 tackles which puts him in the 51.12 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nic Wilson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Hawaii Roster

The Players to Watch for Hawaii

Chevan Cordeiro QB 6-1 190

This season, Chevan Cordeiro has put up 339 yards and 0 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 100.8thus far this season. Chevan Cordeiro has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chevan Cordeiro has 117.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.67 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 22.0 times this season, which puts him in the 70.2 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Miles Reed RB 5-8 190

This season, Miles Reed has 163 rushing yards on 28 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Miles Reed picked up -3 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jared Smart WR 6-0 190

This season, Jared Smart picked up 121 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jonah Laulu DL 6-6 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Hawaii, Jonah Laulu has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Khoury Bethley DB 5-10 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Hawaii, Khoury Bethley had 14 tackles which puts him in the 65.07 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Khoury Bethley as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

New Mexico vs. Hawaii Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: New Mexico 29 Hawaii 48

Spread Pick: Hawaii -15 -112 BetOnline
Moneyline Pick: Hawaii -575 Heritage
Total Pick: Over 62.5 -159 matchbook