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North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The North Carolina visits Miami (FL) on 12/12/2020 at 3:30PM.

North Carolina and Miami (FL) face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. North Carolina has a record of 7-3 this season. Miami (FL) is 8-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

North Carolina Team Defense Preview

North Carolina has had 112 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.31 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. North Carolina has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. North Carolina opponents pass the football 51.26% of the time.North Carolina tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? North Carolina can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.11 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. North Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

North Carolina Team Offense Preview

North Carolina has had 109 total drives this season and they generate 5.65 plays per drive. North Carolina runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with North Carolina, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 50.49% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

North Carolina is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.24 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The North Carolina coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against North Carolina this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. North Carolina is a better passing team than running team this season.

Miami (FL) Team Defense Preview

Miami (FL) has had 106 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.31 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Miami (FL) has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 54.35% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Miami (FL) opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.68 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Miami (FL) has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Miami (FL) should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Miami (FL) has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Miami (FL) Team Offense Preview

Miami (FL) has had 107 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.63 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Miami (FL) is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 49.83% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Miami (FL) is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Miami (FL) can take credit for 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Miami (FL) Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Miami (FL) is a better passing team than running team this season.

The North Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for North Carolina

Sam Howell QB 6-1 225

This season, Sam Howell has put up 3129 yards and 26 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 181.8thus far this season. Sam Howell has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Howell has 116.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 79.32 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 76.0 times this season, which puts him in the 91.05 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Michael Carter RB 5-8 199

This season, Michael Carter has 937 rushing yards on 132 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Michael Carter picked up 258 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dyami Brown WR 6-1 185

This season, Dyami Brown picked up 932 yards. He caught the ball 51 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tomari Fox DL 6-2 280.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for North Carolina, Tomari Fox has 43 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.39 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 93.64 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Cam’Ron Kelly DB 6-2 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina, Cam’Ron Kelly had 52 tackles which puts him in the 95.88 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 71.77 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Cam’Ron Kelly as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Miami (FL) Roster

The Players to Watch for Miami (FL)

D’Eriq King QB 5-11 202

This season, D’Eriq King has put up 2331 yards and 20 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 152.9thus far this season. D’Eriq King has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, D’Eriq King has 467.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.91 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 111.0 times this season, which puts him in the 97.99 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Cam’ron Harris RB 5-10 210

This season, Cam’ron Harris has 555 rushing yards on 110 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Cam’ron Harris picked up 94 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Mike Harley WR 5-11 180

This season, Mike Harley picked up 653 yards. He caught the ball 43 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaelan Phillips DL 6-5 266.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Miami (FL), Jaelan Phillips has 41 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 14 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.8 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 99.49 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Bubba Bolden S 6-3 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Miami (FL), Bubba Bolden had 52 tackles which puts him in the 95.88 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 96.51 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Bubba Bolden as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 83.84 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

AL Blades CB 6-1 192

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Miami (FL), AL Blades had 29 tackles which puts him in the 90.79 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. AL Blades as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.48 percentile among Corners this season.

North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: North Carolina 31 Miami (FL) 30

Spread Pick: North Carolina +3 -105 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: North Carolina +135 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 68 -108 Pinnacle Sports