College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

North Carolina State vs. Boston College 10/16/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

North Carolina State visits Boston College on 10/16/2021 at 7:30PM.

North Carolina State and Boston College face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! North Carolina State sports a record of 4-1 this season. Boston College is 4-1 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…



North Carolina State Team Defense Preview

North Carolina State has had 65 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.83 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, North Carolina State are not a team that allows many plays per drive. The defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays are 56.37% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

North Carolina State opponents have had struggled with running the ball and the defense crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line up and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback against this season ‘s defense, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? North Carolina State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.9 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect them to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. North Carolina State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .

North Carolina State Team Offense Preview

North Carolina State has had 68 total drives this season and they generate 5.51 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. North Carolina State is an average offense as far as staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays are 54.13% of their play calls.North Carolina State passes more than other teams.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this season offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.52 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box is not enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

North Carolina State bullied and controlled defenses this season , defenses are not to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. North Carolina State is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. In order to stop this offense, it requires opposing defenses to need secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for the offense to be disrupted. North Carolina State is a better passing team than running team this season .

Boston College Team Defense Preview

Boston College has had 57 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.35 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Boston College opponents passes the football 48.85% of the time.Opponents typically have had some form of run/pass balance against them.

Boston College is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.83 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Boston College is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .

Boston College Team Offense Preview

Boston College has had 52 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.27 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Boston College. Boston College has had shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has had converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays are 41.72% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Boston College struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.76 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has had been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Boston College this season. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Boston College is a better running team than passing team this season .

The North Carolina State Roster

The Players to Watch for North Carolina State

Devin Leary QB 6’1″ 212 Sophomore

Devin Leary put up 1283 yards, tossed 12 touchdowns, and he threw 2 interceptions this season. He threw a variety of different length passes. His average completed pass was 7.0 yards. The zone read is a common part of the offense and mobility is used as part of the offense, but not necessarily the focus of the offense. His average rush was -1.8 yards.

Zonovan Knight RB 5’11” 210 Sophomore

Zonovan Knight had 462 rushing yards on 71 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 3 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 6.5 yards. He was relied upon as a receiver in their offense this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.5 yards.

Emeka Emezie WR 6’3″ 212 Senior

Emeka Emezie picked up 369 yards through the air. He caught the ball 32 times this season. He reached the end zone 1 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 11.5 yards.

Cory Durden DT 6’4″ 310 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina State, Cory Durden, had 13 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 2 sacks this season.

Daniel Joseph DL 6’3″ 265 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina State, Daniel Joseph, had 13 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Tanner Ingle S 5’10” 182 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for North Carolina State, Tanner Ingle, had 31 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

Derrek Pitts CB 6’1″ 182 Junior

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for North Carolina State, Derrek Pitts, had 20 tackles this season.Among Cornerbacks, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 pick-offs this season.

The Boston College Roster

The Players to Watch for Boston College

Dennis Grosel QB 6’1″ 221 Senior

Dennis Grosel put up 763 yards, tossed 4 touchdowns, and he threw 4 interceptions. He threw a variety of different length passes. His average completed pass was 7.5 yards. The zone read is a common part of the offense and mobility is used as part of the offense, but not necessarily the focus of the offense. His average rush was 3.2 yards.

Pat Garwo III RB 5’8″ 214 Sophomore

Pat Garwo III had 261 rushing yards on 41 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 4 rushing touchdowns. He was relied upon to carry the ball quite a bit this season. His average rush was 6.4 yards. His contributions as a receiver this season are not worth mentioning.

Zay Flowers WR 5’10” 177 Junior

Zay Flowers picked up 345 yards through the air. He caught the ball 23 times this season. He reached the end zone 2 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 15.0 yards.

TJ Rayam DT 6’0″ 293 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, TJ Rayam, had 11 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Shitta Sillah DE 6’4″ 253 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Shitta Sillah, had 19 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Josh DeBerry DB 5’11” 176 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Boston College, Josh DeBerry, had 21 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 2.0 sacks this season.

North Carolina State vs. Boston College Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: North Carolina State 23 Boston College 34

Spread Pick: Boston College +3 -104 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Moneyline Pick: Boston College +145 BetAnySports
Over Pick: Over 50.5 -115 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.