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North Carolina vs. Texas A&M 1/2/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The North Carolina visits Texas A&M on 1/2/2021 at 8:00PM.

North Carolina and Texas A&M face off in a Bowl Game. Yes, it is the truncated postseason of College Football leading up to the College Football Playoff Semifinals. North Carolina has a record of 8-3 this season. Texas A&M is 8-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

North Carolina Team Defense Preview

North Carolina has had 122 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.26 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. North Carolina has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. North Carolina opponents pass the football 51.25% of the time.North Carolina tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? North Carolina can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.03 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. North Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

North Carolina Team Offense Preview

North Carolina has had 120 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.61 plays per drive. North Carolina runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with North Carolina, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 48.89% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, North Carolina has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. North Carolina can take credit for 3.29 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against North Carolina this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. North Carolina has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Texas A&M Team Defense Preview

Texas A&M has had 92 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.61 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Texas A&M opponents pass the football 58.33% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Texas A&M is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas A&M can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.97 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Texas A&M is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas A&M Team Offense Preview

Texas A&M has had 97 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.22 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Texas A&M. Any defense is in for a challenge with Texas A&M, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 46.93% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Texas A&M struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.14 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Texas A&M coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Texas A&M has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Texas A&M is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Texas A&M has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The North Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for North Carolina

Sam Howell QB 6-1 225

This season, Sam Howell has put up 3352 yards and 27 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 182.2thus far this season. Sam Howell has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Howell has 121.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 78.87 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 80.0 times this season, which puts him in the 89.29 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Michael Carter RB 5-8 199

This season, Michael Carter has 1245 rushing yards on 156 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Michael Carter picked up 267 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 25 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dyami Brown WR 6-1 185

This season, Dyami Brown picked up 1099 yards. He caught the ball 55 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tomari Fox DL 6-2 280.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for North Carolina, Tomari Fox has 43 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 88.71 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 92.77 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Cam’Ron Kelly DB 6-1 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina, Cam’Ron Kelly had 53 tackles which puts him in the 93.6 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 69.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Cam’Ron Kelly as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.42 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Texas A&M Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas A&M

Kellen Mond QB 6-3 217

This season, Kellen Mond has put up 2050 yards and 19 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 147.9thus far this season. Kellen Mond has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kellen Mond has 258.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 88.39 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 63.0 times this season, which puts him in the 84.08 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Spiller RB 6-1 225

This season, Isaiah Spiller has 993 rushing yards on 176 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Isaiah Spiller picked up 174 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chase Lane WR 6-0 190

This season, Chase Lane picked up 382 yards. He caught the ball 28 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Demarvin Leal DL 6-4 290.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Texas A&M, Demarvin Leal has 30 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 88.71 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 79.16 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Leon O’Neal Jr. DB 6-1 210.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas A&M, Leon O’Neal Jr. had 44 tackles which puts him in the 88.76 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 84.54 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Leon O’Neal Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.52 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

North Carolina vs. Texas A&M Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: North Carolina 34 Texas A&M 35

Spread Pick: North Carolina +7.5 -115 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Texas A&M -265 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 65.5 -101 5Dimes