College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Notre Dame vs. Boston College 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Notre Dame visits Boston College on 11/14/2020 at 3:30PM.

Notre Dame and Boston College face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Notre Dame has a record of 7-0 this season. Boston College is 5-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Notre Dame Team Defense Preview

Notre Dame has had 71 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.03 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Notre Dame is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 54.62% of their opponents’ play calls.Notre Dame tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Notre Dame opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 1.92 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Notre Dame has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Notre Dame should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Notre Dame is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Notre Dame Team Offense Preview

Notre Dame has had 69 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.26 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Notre Dame. Notre Dame has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 43.06% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Notre Dame has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.2 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Notre Dame coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Notre Dame this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Notre Dame has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Boston College Team Defense Preview

Boston College has had 80 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.6 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Boston College has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 51.79% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Boston College opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.85 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Boston College has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boston College Team Offense Preview

Boston College has had 76 total drives this season and they generate 6.12 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Boston College. Boston College is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 54.19% of their play calls.Boston College tends to pass more than other teams.

Boston College is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Boston College can take credit for 2.44 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Boston College Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Boston College is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Notre Dame Roster

The Players to Watch for Notre Dame

Ian Book QB 6-0 206

This season, Ian Book has put up 1534 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 141.4thus far this season. Ian Book has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ian Book has 279.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.09 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 65.0 times this season, which puts him in the 94.31 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kyren Williams RB 5-9 204

This season, Kyren Williams has 740 rushing yards on 128 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 10 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kyren Williams picked up 178 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Javon McKinley WR 6-2 215

This season, Javon McKinley picked up 366 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Daelin Hayes DL 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Notre Dame, Daelin Hayes has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.53 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 93.88 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Kyle Hamilton DB 6-4 216

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Notre Dame, Kyle Hamilton had 36 tackles which puts him in the 93.99 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.27 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kyle Hamilton as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Shaun Crawford CB 5-9 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Notre Dame, Shaun Crawford had 25 tackles which puts him in the 94.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.31 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Shaun Crawford as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.08 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Boston College Roster

The Players to Watch for Boston College

Phil Jurkovec QB 6-5 226

This season, Phil Jurkovec has put up 2083 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 140.2thus far this season. Phil Jurkovec has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Phil Jurkovec has 96.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 80.43 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 65.0 times this season, which puts him in the 94.31 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

David Bailey RB 6-0 236

This season, David Bailey has 429 rushing yards on 110 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, David Bailey picked up 64 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zay Flowers WR 5-11 178

This season, Zay Flowers picked up 600 yards. He caught the ball 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chibueze Onwuka DT 5-11 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Chibueze Onwuka has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 78.14 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 93.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Marcus Valdez DE 6-0 258

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Marcus Valdez has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Josh DeBerry DB 5-11 180

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boston College, Josh DeBerry had 31 tackles which puts him in the 90.77 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Josh DeBerry as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 87.26 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Notre Dame vs. Boston College Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Notre Dame 39 Boston College 19

Spread Pick: Notre Dame -11 -114 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Notre Dame -400 Bookmaker
Total Pick: Over 50 -110 Pinnacle Sports