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Notre Dame vs. North Carolina 11/27/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Notre Dame visits North Carolina on 11/27/2020 at 3:30PM.

Notre Dame and North Carolina face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Notre Dame has a record of 8-0 this season. North Carolina is 6-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Notre Dame Team Defense Preview

Notre Dame has had 82 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.12 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Notre Dame is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Notre Dame opponents pass the football 56.19% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Notre Dame opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Notre Dame can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.01 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Notre Dame has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Notre Dame should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Notre Dame is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Notre Dame Team Offense Preview

Notre Dame has had 79 total drives this season and they generate 6.39 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Notre Dame. Notre Dame has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 41.98% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Notre Dame can take credit for 3.29 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Notre Dame has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Notre Dame has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

North Carolina Team Defense Preview

North Carolina has had 93 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.35 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. North Carolina has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 52.41% of their opponents’ play calls.North Carolina tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.14 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. North Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

North Carolina Team Offense Preview

North Carolina has had 91 total drives this season and they generate 5.78 plays per drive. North Carolina runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with North Carolina, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.North Carolina passes the football 49.05% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, North Carolina has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. North Carolina can take credit for 3.32 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against North Carolina this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. North Carolina has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Notre Dame Roster

The Players to Watch for Notre Dame

Ian Book QB 6-0 206

This season, Ian Book has put up 1817 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 148.6thus far this season. Ian Book has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ian Book has 364.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 97.05 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 75.0 times this season, which puts him in the 94.75 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kyren Williams RB 5-9 204

This season, Kyren Williams has 777 rushing yards on 137 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 10 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kyren Williams picked up 215 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Javon McKinley WR 6-2 215

This season, Javon McKinley picked up 414 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Daelin Hayes DL 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Notre Dame, Daelin Hayes has 15 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.29 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 91.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Kyle Hamilton DB 6-4 216.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Notre Dame, Kyle Hamilton had 39 tackles which puts him in the 92.83 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 97.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kyle Hamilton as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Shaun Crawford CB 5-9 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Notre Dame, Shaun Crawford had 34 tackles which puts him in the 96.94 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 99.24 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 2 times last season. Shaun Crawford as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 83.79 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The North Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for North Carolina

Sam Howell QB 6-1 225

This season, Sam Howell has put up 2631 yards and 23 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 182.6thus far this season. Sam Howell has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Howell has 73.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 71.97 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 63.0 times this season, which puts him in the 89.34 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Javonte Williams RB 5-10 220

This season, Javonte Williams has 868 rushing yards on 120 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 15 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Javonte Williams picked up 247 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dyami Brown WR 6-1 185

This season, Dyami Brown picked up 829 yards. He caught the ball 45 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tomari Fox DL 6-2 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina, Tomari Fox has 38 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.29 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.93 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Cam’Ron Kelly DB 6-2 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina, Cam’Ron Kelly had 49 tackles which puts him in the 97.09 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 75.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cam’Ron Kelly as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Notre Dame vs. North Carolina Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Notre Dame 35 North Carolina 27

Spread Pick: Notre Dame -4.5 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Notre Dame -185 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 70 -110 BetOnline