College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Oklahoma State visits Baylor on 12/12/2020 at 7:00PM.

Oklahoma State and Baylor face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Oklahoma State has a record of 6-3 this season. Baylor is 2-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Oklahoma State Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 121 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.85 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 47.36% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Oklahoma State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.69 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Oklahoma State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oklahoma State Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 119 total drives this season and they generate 5.08 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 42.98% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Oklahoma State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.49 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Oklahoma State Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Oklahoma State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Baylor Team Defense Preview

Baylor has had 103 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.93 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Baylor is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 44.88% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Baylor opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.8 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Baylor has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Baylor Team Offense Preview

Baylor has had 100 total drives this season and they generate 5.36 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Baylor passes the football 58.21% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Baylor struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Baylor can take credit for 2.19 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Baylor Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Baylor is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Oklahoma State Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma State

Spencer Sanders QB 6-1 205

This season, Spencer Sanders has put up 1355 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.6thus far this season. Spencer Sanders has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Sanders has 199.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 79.0 times this season, which puts him in the 92.28 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Chuba Hubbard RB 6-0 208

This season, Chuba Hubbard has 625 rushing yards on 133 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Chuba Hubbard picked up 52 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tylan Wallace WR 6-0 190

This season, Tylan Wallace picked up 872 yards. He caught the ball 53 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Israel Antwine DT 6-4 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Israel Antwine has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 94.84 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tyler Lacy DE 6-4 285.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Oklahoma State, Tyler Lacy has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.39 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 93.64 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Trey Sterling S 5-11 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Trey Sterling had 61 tackles which puts him in the 97.7 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 8 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.7 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Trey Sterling as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Jarrick Bernard CB 6-1 205

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Oklahoma State, Jarrick Bernard had 25 tackles which puts him in the 84.42 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jarrick Bernard as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

The Baylor Roster

The Players to Watch for Baylor

Charlie Brewer QB 6-1 210

This season, Charlie Brewer has put up 1890 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 126.8thus far this season. Charlie Brewer has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Charlie Brewer has 170.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 84.88 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 102.0 times this season, which puts him in the 96.91 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Craig Williams RB 5-8 173

This season, Craig Williams has 197 rushing yards on 26 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Craig Williams picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

R.J. Sneed WR 6-1 200

This season, R.J. Sneed picked up 469 yards. He caught the ball 36 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Landry DT 6-1 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baylor, Josh Landry has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.96 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 74.66 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

TJ Franklin DE 6-4 280.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Baylor, TJ Franklin has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.64 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 66.28 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jalen Pitre S 6-0 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baylor, Jalen Pitre had 52 tackles which puts him in the 95.88 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 10 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Jalen Pitre as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Raleigh Texada CB 5-10 188

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Baylor, Raleigh Texada had 23 tackles which puts him in the 80.03 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 91.5 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Raleigh Texada as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 81.59 percentile among Corners this season.

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Oklahoma State 28 Baylor 16

Spread Pick: Oklahoma State -4.5 -112 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma State -190 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 49 -109 Pinnacle Sports