College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Oklahoma State visits Kansas State on 11/7/2020 at 4:00PM.

Oklahoma State and Kansas State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Oklahoma State has a record of 4-1 this season. Kansas State is 4-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Oklahoma State Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 64 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.8 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 52.12% of their opponents’ play calls.Oklahoma State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Oklahoma State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.39 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Oklahoma State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Oklahoma State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oklahoma State Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 64 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.25 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Oklahoma State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Oklahoma State passes the football 41.37% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Oklahoma State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Oklahoma State can take credit for 2.5 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Oklahoma State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Oklahoma State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Kansas State Team Defense Preview

Kansas State has had 67 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.91 plays per drive. Kansas State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Kansas State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 55.56% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Kansas State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.08 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Kansas State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kansas State Team Offense Preview

Kansas State has had 67 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.7 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 47.94% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Kansas State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Kansas State can take credit for 2.09 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Kansas State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Kansas State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Oklahoma State Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma State

Spencer Sanders QB 6-1 205

This season, Spencer Sanders has put up 658 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 164.0thus far this season. Spencer Sanders has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Sanders has 91.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 81.96 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 36.0 times this season, which puts him in the 83.53 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Chuba Hubbard RB 6-0 208

This season, Chuba Hubbard has 550 rushing yards on 119 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Chuba Hubbard picked up 48 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tylan Wallace WR 6-0 190

This season, Tylan Wallace picked up 583 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Cameron Murray DT 6-3 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Cameron Murray has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 82.24 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tyler Lacy DE 6-4 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Tyler Lacy has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 94.97 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Trey Sterling S 5-11 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Trey Sterling had 37 tackles which puts him in the 95.64 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.69 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Trey Sterling as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Thomas Harper CB 5-10 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Thomas Harper had 16 tackles which puts him in the 81.78 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Thomas Harper as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Kansas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas State

Will Howard QB 6-4 230

This season, Will Howard has put up 741 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 128.4thus far this season. Will Howard has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Will Howard has 107.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 83.92 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 32.0 times this season, which puts him in the 79.8 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deuce Vaughn RB 5-5 168

This season, Deuce Vaughn has 341 rushing yards on 70 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deuce Vaughn picked up 361 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chabastin Taylor WR 6-4 223

This season, Chabastin Taylor picked up 256 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Drew Wiley DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Drew Wiley has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.73 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 99.45 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Khalid Duke DE 6-3 244

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Khalid Duke has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.16 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jahron McPherson DB 6-1 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas State, Jahron McPherson had 35 tackles which puts him in the 94.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jahron McPherson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 96.9 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Oklahoma State 33 Kansas State 17

Spread Pick: Oklahoma State -12 -108 Heritage
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma State -435 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 46.5 -114 Pinnacle Sports