College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Oklahoma State visits Oklahoma on 11/21/2020 at 7:30PM.

Oklahoma State and Oklahoma face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Oklahoma State has a record of 5-1 this season. Oklahoma is 5-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Oklahoma State Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 77 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.81 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Oklahoma State opponents pass the football 49.19% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Oklahoma State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.48 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Oklahoma State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oklahoma State Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 77 total drives this season and they generate 5.18 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 41.10% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Oklahoma State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.36 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Oklahoma State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Oklahoma State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Oklahoma Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma has had 80 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.14 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Oklahoma opponents pass the football 58.91% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Oklahoma opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 1.99 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Oklahoma has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Oklahoma should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oklahoma Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma has had 78 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.22 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Oklahoma, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Oklahoma passes the football 50.12% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Oklahoma is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.78 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Oklahoma Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Oklahoma is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Oklahoma State Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma State

Spencer Sanders QB 6-1 205

This season, Spencer Sanders has put up 766 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 148.2thus far this season. Spencer Sanders has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Sanders has 100.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 78.67 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 48.0 times this season, which puts him in the 85.67 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Chuba Hubbard RB 6-0 208

This season, Chuba Hubbard has 581 rushing yards on 125 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Chuba Hubbard picked up 52 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tylan Wallace WR 6-0 190

This season, Tylan Wallace picked up 583 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Israel Antwine DT 6-4 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Israel Antwine has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tyler Lacy DE 6-4 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Tyler Lacy has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 92.54 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Trey Sterling S 5-11 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Trey Sterling had 39 tackles which puts him in the 93.98 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 97.87 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Trey Sterling as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Thomas Harper CB 5-10 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Thomas Harper had 19 tackles which puts him in the 81.29 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 80.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Thomas Harper as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Oklahoma Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma

Spencer Rattler QB 6-1 205

This season, Spencer Rattler has put up 2018 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 172.1thus far this season. Spencer Rattler has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Rattler has 101.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 79.18 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 50.0 times this season, which puts him in the 87.03 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

T.J. Pledger RB 5-9 193

This season, T.J. Pledger has 393 rushing yards on 81 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, T.J. Pledger picked up 79 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marvin Mims WR 5-11 177

This season, Marvin Mims picked up 418 yards. He caught the ball 25 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 7 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Thomas DL 6-5 267

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma, Isaiah Thomas has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.64 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 95.66 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Delarrin Turner-Yell S 5-10 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma, Delarrin Turner-Yell had 31 tackles which puts him in the 89.31 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Delarrin Turner-Yell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tre Brown CB 5-10 186

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma, Tre Brown had 20 tackles which puts him in the 84.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.32 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre Brown as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 94.65 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Oklahoma State 29 Oklahoma 27

Spread Pick: Oklahoma State +7 -104 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma State +225 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 60.5 -110 Bookmaker