College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Oklahoma State vs. TCU 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Oklahoma State visits TCU on 12/5/2020 at 12:00PM.

Oklahoma State and TCU face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Oklahoma State has a record of 6-2 this season. TCU is 4-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Oklahoma State Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 105 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.89 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Oklahoma State opponents pass the football 48.73% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Oklahoma State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Oklahoma State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.64 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Oklahoma State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oklahoma State Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 102 total drives this season and they generate 5.21 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Oklahoma State passes the football 42.56% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Oklahoma State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.49 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Oklahoma State Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Oklahoma State is a better passing team than running team this season.

TCU Team Defense Preview

TCU has had 102 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.61 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 50.64% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

TCU opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? TCU can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.37 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

TCU has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. TCU should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. TCU has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

TCU Team Offense Preview

TCU has had 102 total drives this season and they generate 5.1 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. TCU passes the football 44.81% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

TCU struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the TCU Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. TCU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Oklahoma State Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma State

Spencer Sanders QB 6-1 205

This season, Spencer Sanders has put up 1085 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 134.9thus far this season. Spencer Sanders has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Sanders has 169.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.83 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 68.0 times this season, which puts him in the 90.16 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Chuba Hubbard RB 6-0 208

This season, Chuba Hubbard has 625 rushing yards on 133 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Chuba Hubbard picked up 52 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tylan Wallace WR 6-0 190

This season, Tylan Wallace picked up 780 yards. He caught the ball 46 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Israel Antwine DT 6-4 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Israel Antwine has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.37 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tyler Lacy DE 6-4 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Oklahoma State, Tyler Lacy has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 92.0 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.33 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Trey Sterling S 5-11 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Trey Sterling had 57 tackles which puts him in the 97.64 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 6 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Trey Sterling as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.96 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Thomas Harper CB 5-10 180

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Oklahoma State, Thomas Harper had 24 tackles which puts him in the 86.51 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 78.74 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Thomas Harper as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

The TCU Roster

The Players to Watch for TCU

Max Duggan QB 6-2 201

This season, Max Duggan has put up 1370 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 129.1thus far this season. Max Duggan has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Max Duggan has 409.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.83 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 93.0 times this season, which puts him in the 97.3 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 7.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Darwin Barlow RB 5-11 204

This season, Darwin Barlow has 387 rushing yards on 61 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Darwin Barlow picked up 31 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Taye Barber WR 5-9 185

This season, Taye Barber picked up 322 yards. He caught the ball 30 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrell Cooper DT 6-2 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Terrell Cooper has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.37 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 75.92 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ochaun Mathis DE 6-5 247

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for TCU, Ochaun Mathis has 29 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.34 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.23 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Trevon Moehrig-Woodard S 6-2 202.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, Trevon Moehrig-Woodard had 38 tackles which puts him in the 90.37 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Trevon Moehrig-Woodard as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson CB 5-9 177

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for TCU, Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson had 20 tackles which puts him in the 77.27 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

Oklahoma State vs. TCU Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Oklahoma State 26 TCU 15

Spread Pick: Oklahoma State +1 -116 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma State -110 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 51.5 -111 Bookmaker