College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Ole Miss vs. Indiana 1/2/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Ole Miss visits Indiana on 1/2/2021 at 12:30PM.

Ole Miss and Indiana face off in a Bowl Game. Yes, it is the truncated postseason of College Football leading up to the College Football Playoff Semifinals. Ole Miss has a record of 4-5 this season. Indiana is 6-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Ole Miss Team Defense Preview

Ole Miss has had 98 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.11 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Ole Miss cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Ole Miss message boards are flights of fantasy. Ole Miss opponents pass the football 51.09% of the time.Ole Miss tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.28 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Ole Miss has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Ole Miss Team Offense Preview

Ole Miss has had 104 total drives this season and they generate 5.94 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Ole Miss. Any defense is in for a challenge with Ole Miss, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Ole Miss passes the football 42.39% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Ole Miss is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.94 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Ole Miss Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Ole Miss is a better passing team than running team this season.

Indiana Team Defense Preview

Indiana has had 87 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.1 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Indiana is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Indiana has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Indiana opponents pass the football 54.50% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.37 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Indiana has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Indiana is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Indiana Team Offense Preview

Indiana has had 89 total drives this season and they generate 4.99 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Indiana is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Indiana passes the football 54.73% of the time.Indiana tends to pass more than other teams.

Indiana is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Indiana can take credit for 2.14 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Indiana has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Indiana is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Indiana is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Ole Miss Roster

The Players to Watch for Ole Miss

Matt Corral QB 6-1 205

This season, Matt Corral has put up 2995 yards and 27 touchdowns. He has thrown 14 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 182.2thus far this season. Matt Corral has thrown 14 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Matt Corral has 469.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 95.24 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 105.0 times this season, which puts him in the 95.24 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jerrion Ealy RB 5-9 190

This season, Jerrion Ealy has 745 rushing yards on 147 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jerrion Ealy picked up 155 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Elijah Moore WR 5-9 185

This season, Elijah Moore picked up 1193 yards. He caught the ball 86 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Sincere David DT 6-2 320

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ole Miss, Sincere David has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 21.55 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.39 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ryder Anderson DL 6-6 275.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Ole Miss, Ryder Anderson has 39 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 85.15 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 79.16 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Keidron Smith DB 6-2 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Ole Miss, Keidron Smith had 60 tackles which puts him in the 96.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.09 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Keidron Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 81.62 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Indiana Roster

The Players to Watch for Indiana

Michael Penix Jr. QB 6-3 218

This season, Michael Penix Jr. has put up 1645 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.5thus far this season. Michael Penix Jr. has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Michael Penix Jr. has 25.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 50.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18.0 times this season, which puts him in the 48.96 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Stevie Scott RB 6-2 231

This season, Stevie Scott has 462 rushing yards on 137 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Stevie Scott picked up 52 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ty Fryfogle WR 6-2 214

This season, Ty Fryfogle picked up 687 yards. He caught the ball 34 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 7 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jerome Johnson DL 6-3 304.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Indiana, Jerome Johnson has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.2 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 92.77 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tiawan Mullen DB 5-10 176.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Indiana, Tiawan Mullen had 35 tackles which puts him in the 80.8 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 95.86 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 4 times this season. Tiawan Mullen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 97.58 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Ole Miss vs. Indiana Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Ole Miss 33 Indiana 40

Spread Pick: Ole Miss +9 -111 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Indiana -307 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 65 -105 5Dimes