College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Ole Miss vs. Tennessee 10/16/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

Ole Miss visits Tennessee on 10/16/2021 at 7:30PM.

Ole Miss and Tennessee face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Ole Miss sports a record of 4-1 this season. Tennessee is 4-2 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…



Ole Miss Team Defense Preview

Ole Miss has had 59 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.36 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Ole Miss struggles to find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and this means that when a three-and-out is necessary late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening. Offensive Coordinators have had no trouble with this season defense, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads onOle Missmessage boards are flights of fantasy. Ole Miss opponents passes the football 44.80% of the time.Their opponents run the ball as opposed airing it out.

Ole Miss is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Ole Miss can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.38 yards per carry. Their defense gives offensive lines too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Ole Miss has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

Ole Miss Team Offense Preview

Ole Miss has had 61 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.08 plays per drive. Ole Miss run a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Ole Miss, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays are 41.51% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Ole Miss is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.65 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box is not enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season . They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Ole Miss bullied and controlled defenses this season , defenses are not to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Ole Miss is a better running team than passing team this season .

Tennessee Team Defense Preview

Tennessee has had 75 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.59 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Tennessee has had a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays are 53.22% of their opponents’ play calls.Tennessee tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents wanted to air it out against them.

Tennessee opponents have had struggled with running the ball and the defense crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line up and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback against this season ‘s defense, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Tennessee can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.79 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have had been simply unable to support their running games against their defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Tennessee is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .

Tennessee Team Offense Preview

Tennessee has had 77 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.81 plays per drive. Tennessee run a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Tennessee, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays are 39.60% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this season offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.48 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box is not enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run forces opponents to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must, especially against zone read looks. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Tennessee bullied and controlled defenses this season , defenses are not to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Tennessee is a better running team than passing team this season .

The Ole Miss Roster

The Players to Watch for Ole Miss

Matt Corral QB 6’1″ 205 Sophomore

Matt Corral put up 1497 yards, tossed 12 touchdowns, and he threw 0 interceptions this season. He was considered one of the gunslingers of College Football this season. His average completed pass was 10.3 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 4.4 yards.

Henry Parrish Jr. RB 5’10” 190 Freshman

Henry Parrish Jr. had 332 rushing yards on 54 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 1 rushing touchdowns. He was relied upon to carry the ball quite a bit this season. His average rush was 6.1 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.1 yards.

Dontario Drummond WR 6’0″ 215 Senior

Dontario Drummond picked up 460 yards through the air. He caught the ball 26 times this season. He reached the end zone 5 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 17.7 yards.

Tywone Malone DT 6’4″ 300 Freshman

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ole Miss, Tywone Malone, had 3 tackles this season.He forced 1 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Sam Williams DL 6’4″ 265 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ole Miss, Sam Williams, had 18 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 5 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 5 sacks this season.

Otis Reese DB 6’2″ 215 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Ole Miss, Otis Reese, had 38 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

The Tennessee Roster

The Players to Watch for Tennessee

Hendon Hooker QB 6’4″ 218 Senior

Hendon Hooker put up 1064 yards, tossed 13 touchdowns, and he threw 1 interceptions. He was considered one of the gunslingers of College Football this season. His average completed pass was 9.5 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 4.2 yards.

Tiyon Evans RB 5’11” 220 Junior

Tiyon Evans had 482 rushing yards on 73 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 6 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 6.6 yards. He was relied upon as a receiver in their offense this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.6 yards.

Velus Jones Jr. WR 6’0″ 200 Senior

Velus Jones Jr. picked up 342 yards through the air. He caught the ball 22 times this season. He reached the end zone 3 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 15.5 yards.

Ja’Quain Blakely DL 6’2″ 285 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Tennessee, Ja’Quain Blakely, had 17 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 3 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 2 sacks this season.

Theo Jackson DB 6’2″ 203 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Tennessee, Theo Jackson, had 37 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 6 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

Ole Miss vs. Tennessee Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Ole Miss 27 Tennessee 26

Spread Pick: Tennessee +3 -113 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Moneyline Pick: Ole Miss -145 BetOnline
Under Pick: Under 82.5 -110 JazzSports 100% Triple Welcome Bonus