College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Oregon State vs. Utah 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Oregon State visits Utah on 12/5/2020 at 10:30PM.

Oregon State and Utah face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Oregon State has a record of 2-2 this season. Utah is 0-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Oregon State Team Defense Preview

Oregon State has had 47 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.98 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Oregon State cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Oregon State has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 47.69% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Oregon State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.03 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Oregon State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oregon State Team Offense Preview

Oregon State has had 45 total drives this season and they generate 5.89 plays per drive. Oregon State runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Oregon State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 50.57% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Oregon State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.12 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Oregon State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Oregon State this season. Oregon State is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Oregon State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Utah Team Defense Preview

Utah has had 26 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.92 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Utah is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Utah has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Utah opponents pass the football 56.25% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Utah opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 1.92 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Utah is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Utah Team Offense Preview

Utah has had 24 total drives this season and they generate 5.13 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Utah is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Utah is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 49.59% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Utah is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Utah can take credit for 3.24 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Utah coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Utah has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Utah is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Utah has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Oregon State Roster

The Players to Watch for Oregon State

Tristan Gebbia QB 6-2 201

This season, Tristan Gebbia has put up 824 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 118.7thus far this season. Tristan Gebbia has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tristan Gebbia has -16.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 10.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 19.0 times this season, which puts him in the 56.83 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jermar Jefferson RB 5-10 217

This season, Jermar Jefferson has 675 rushing yards on 91 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jermar Jefferson picked up 60 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Trevon Bradford WR 6-0 182

This season, Trevon Bradford picked up 219 yards. He caught the ball 21 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaac Hodgins DL 6-0 265

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Oregon State, Isaac Hodgins has 15 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 21.41 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Nahshon Wright DB 6-4 188.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oregon State, Nahshon Wright had 19 tackles which puts him in the 63.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Nahshon Wright as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.96 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Utah Roster

The Players to Watch for Utah

Jake Bentley QB 6-4 220

This season, Jake Bentley has put up 315 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 111.9thus far this season. Jake Bentley has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jake Bentley has 57.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 65.71 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 14.0 times this season, which puts him in the 48.73 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Ty Jordan RB 5-7 200

This season, Ty Jordan has 129 rushing yards on 17 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Ty Jordan picked up 52 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bryan Thompson WR 6-2 207

This season, Bryan Thompson picked up 113 yards. He caught the ball 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Viane Moala DT 6-6 323

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Utah, Viane Moala has 3 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.54 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Hauati Pututau DE 6-3 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Utah, Hauati Pututau has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 49.74 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Nate Ritchie S 6-2 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Utah, Nate Ritchie had 11 tackles which puts him in the 48.12 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Nate Ritchie as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Clark Phillips III CB 5-10 191

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Utah, Clark Phillips III had 13 tackles which puts him in the 62.17 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 78.74 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Clark Phillips III as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

Oregon State vs. Utah Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Oregon State 24 Utah 37

Spread Pick: Utah -11 -110 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Utah -382 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 51 -110 JazzSports