College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Oregon vs. Washington State 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Oregon visits Washington State on 11/14/2020 at 7:00PM.

Oregon and Washington State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Oregon has a record of 1-0 this season. Washington State is 1-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Oregon Team Defense Preview

Oregon has had 10 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.5 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Oregon opponents pass the football 45.45% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Oregon opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.01 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Oregon is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Oregon Team Offense Preview

Oregon has had 9 total drives this season and they generate 6.78 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Oregon. Any defense is in for a challenge with Oregon, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 39.34% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Oregon has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Oregon can take credit for 3.95 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Oregon this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Oregon is a better passing team than running team this season.

Washington State Team Defense Preview

Washington State has had 12 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.5 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Washington State cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Washington State message boards are flights of fantasy. Washington State opponents pass the football 65.38% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Washington State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.18 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Washington State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Washington State Team Offense Preview

Washington State has had 12 total drives this season and they generate 5.17 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Washington State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Any defense is in for a challenge with Washington State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 54.84% of their play calls.Washington State tends to pass more than other teams.

Washington State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Washington State can take credit for 2.72 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Washington State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Washington State is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Washington State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Oregon Roster

The Players to Watch for Oregon

Tyler Shough QB 6-5 221

This season, Tyler Shough has put up 227 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 143.7thus far this season. Tyler Shough has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tyler Shough has 85.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 79.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 11.0 times this season, which puts him in the 50.71 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

CJ Verdell RB 5-10 210

This season, CJ Verdell has 105 rushing yards on 20 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, CJ Verdell picked up 30 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Johnny Johnson III WR 6-0 199

This season, Johnny Johnson III picked up 60 yards. He caught the ball 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Austin Faoliu DT 6-3 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oregon, Austin Faoliu has 3 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.14 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.43 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Kayvon Thibodeaux DE 6-5 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oregon, Kayvon Thibodeaux has 4 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.73 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Verone McKinley III S 5-11 196

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oregon, Verone McKinley III had 4 tackles which puts him in the 30.24 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Verone McKinley III as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Mykael Wright CB 5-11 182

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oregon, Mykael Wright had 5 tackles which puts him in the 38.81 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Mykael Wright as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Washington State Roster

The Players to Watch for Washington State

Jayden De Laura QB 6-0 195

This season, Jayden De Laura has put up 227 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 126.3thus far this season. Jayden De Laura has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jayden De Laura has 43.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 62.81 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 8.0 times this season, which puts him in the 41.81 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deon McIntosh RB 6-0 190

This season, Deon McIntosh has 147 rushing yards on 18 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deon McIntosh picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Travell Harris WR 5-9 180

This season, Travell Harris picked up 107 yards. He caught the ball 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Brennan Jackson DL 6-4 249

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Washington State, Brennan Jackson has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.73 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

George Hicks DB 6-0 177

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Washington State, George Hicks had 7 tackles which puts him in the 44.76 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. George Hicks as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Ayden Hector CB 6-0 203

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Washington State, Ayden Hector had 7 tackles which puts him in the 48.47 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ayden Hector as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Oregon vs. Washington State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Oregon 38 Washington State 20

Spread Pick: Oregon -10.5 +100 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Oregon -350 SkyBook
Total Pick: Over 57.5 -105 Pinnacle Sports