College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Penn State vs. Nebraska 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Penn State visits Nebraska on 11/14/2020 at 12:00PM.

Penn State and Nebraska face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Penn State has a record of 0-3 this season. Nebraska is 0-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Penn State Team Defense Preview

Penn State has had 39 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.03 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Penn State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 50.00% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.53 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Penn State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Penn State Team Offense Preview

Penn State has had 38 total drives this season and they generate 5.74 plays per drive. Penn State runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Penn State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Penn State passes the football 55.50% of the time.Penn State tends to pass more than other teams.

Penn State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Penn State can take credit for 3.2 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Penn State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Penn State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Penn State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Nebraska Team Defense Preview

Nebraska has had 20 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.05 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Nebraska cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Nebraska message boards are flights of fantasy. Nebraska opponents pass the football 41.32% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Nebraska is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Nebraska can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Nebraska is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Nebraska Team Offense Preview

Nebraska has had 22 total drives this season and they generate 5.86 plays per drive. Nebraska runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Nebraska has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Nebraska passes the football 48.84% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Nebraska is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Nebraska can take credit for 3.35 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Nebraska Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Nebraska has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Penn State Roster

The Players to Watch for Penn State

Sean Clifford QB 6-2 217

This season, Sean Clifford has put up 859 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.8thus far this season. Sean Clifford has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sean Clifford has 150.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 88.61 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 52.0 times this season, which puts him in the 90.39 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Devyn Ford RB 5-11 198

This season, Devyn Ford has 141 rushing yards on 37 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Devyn Ford picked up 11 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jahan Dotson WR 5-11 182

This season, Jahan Dotson picked up 361 yards. He caught the ball 21 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

PJ Mustipher DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Penn State, PJ Mustipher has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.14 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.43 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jayson Oweh DE 6-5 252

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Penn State, Jayson Oweh has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jaquan Brisker S 6-1 212

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Penn State, Jaquan Brisker had 17 tackles which puts him in the 69.47 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jaquan Brisker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Joey Porter Jr. CB 6-2 193

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Penn State, Joey Porter Jr. had 13 tackles which puts him in the 69.66 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 81.69 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Joey Porter Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Nebraska Roster

The Players to Watch for Nebraska

Adrian Martinez QB 6-2 220

This season, Adrian Martinez has put up 230 yards and 0 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 98.4thus far this season. Adrian Martinez has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Adrian Martinez has 187.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 90.75 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 26.0 times this season, which puts him in the 72.6 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Dedrick Mills RB 5-11 220

This season, Dedrick Mills has 84 rushing yards on 28 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Dedrick Mills picked up 33 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Wan’Dale Robinson WR 5-10 185

This season, Wan’Dale Robinson picked up 81 yards. He caught the ball 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ty Robinson DL 6-6 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Nebraska, Ty Robinson has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Marquel Dismuke S 6-2 215

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Nebraska, Marquel Dismuke had 10 tackles which puts him in the 53.51 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Marquel Dismuke as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Dicaprio Bootle CB 5-10 195

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Nebraska, Dicaprio Bootle had 10 tackles which puts him in the 60.34 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Dicaprio Bootle as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Penn State vs. Nebraska Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Penn State 42 Nebraska 25

Spread Pick: Penn State -3 -114 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Penn State -150 Bookmaker
Total Pick: Over 56 -110 bet365