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Penn State vs. Rutgers 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Penn State visits Rutgers on 12/5/2020 at 12:00PM.

Penn State and Rutgers face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Penn State has a record of 1-5 this season. Rutgers is 2-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Penn State Team Defense Preview

Penn State has had 73 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.22 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Penn State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 46.19% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.65 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Penn State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Penn State Team Offense Preview

Penn State has had 75 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.04 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Penn State. Penn State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Penn State passes the football 51.21% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Penn State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.11 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Penn State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Penn State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Penn State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Rutgers Team Defense Preview

Rutgers has had 73 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.66 plays per drive. Rutgers lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Rutgers has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Rutgers opponents pass the football 46.25% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Rutgers is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Rutgers can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.67 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Rutgers is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Rutgers Team Offense Preview

Rutgers has had 76 total drives this season and they generate 5.42 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Rutgers passes the football 49.76% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Rutgers is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Rutgers can take credit for 2.43 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Rutgers Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Rutgers is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Penn State Roster

The Players to Watch for Penn State

Sean Clifford QB 6-2 217

This season, Sean Clifford has put up 1233 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 126.6thus far this season. Sean Clifford has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sean Clifford has 255.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 90.79 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 73.0 times this season, which puts him in the 90.95 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Keyvone Lee RB 6-0 230

This season, Keyvone Lee has 227 rushing yards on 41 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Keyvone Lee picked up 47 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jahan Dotson WR 5-11 182

This season, Jahan Dotson picked up 557 yards. He caught the ball 34 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

PJ Mustipher DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Penn State, PJ Mustipher has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.54 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jayson Oweh DE 6-5 252

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Penn State, Jayson Oweh has 36 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 92.0 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jaquan Brisker S 6-1 212.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Penn State, Jaquan Brisker had 37 tackles which puts him in the 89.62 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jaquan Brisker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Joey Porter Jr. CB 6-2 193

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Penn State, Joey Porter Jr. had 24 tackles which puts him in the 86.51 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 78.74 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Joey Porter Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

The Rutgers Roster

The Players to Watch for Rutgers

Noah Vedral QB 6-1 195

This season, Noah Vedral has put up 1101 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 123.8thus far this season. Noah Vedral has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Noah Vedral has 88.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 75.4 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 45.0 times this season, which puts him in the 82.86 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Isaih Pacheco RB 5-11 210

This season, Isaih Pacheco has 392 rushing yards on 85 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Isaih Pacheco picked up 90 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bo Melton WR 5-11 190

This season, Bo Melton picked up 471 yards. He caught the ball 29 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

CJ Onyechi DL 6-0 248

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Rutgers, CJ Onyechi has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 88.36 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 82.48 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Christian Izien DB 5-10 198.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Rutgers, Christian Izien had 38 tackles which puts him in the 90.37 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Christian Izien as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Penn State vs. Rutgers Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Penn State 42 Rutgers 17

Spread Pick: Penn State -11 -115 BetOnline
Moneyline Pick: Penn State -385 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 52 -111 Bookmaker