College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech 12/10/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Pittsburgh visits Georgia Tech on 12/10/2020 at 7:00PM.

Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Pittsburgh has a record of 5-5 this season. Georgia Tech is 3-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Pittsburgh Team Defense Preview

Pittsburgh has had 120 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.89 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Pittsburgh is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 55.88% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Pittsburgh opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Pittsburgh can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.25 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Pittsburgh has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Pittsburgh should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Pittsburgh is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Pittsburgh Team Offense Preview

Pittsburgh has had 119 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.36 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Pittsburgh is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Pittsburgh passes the football 57.37% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Pittsburgh struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.17 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Pittsburgh Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Pittsburgh is a better passing team than running team this season.

Georgia Tech Team Defense Preview

Georgia Tech has had 111 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.48 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Georgia Tech has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 49.34% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Georgia Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.1 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Georgia Tech is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Georgia Tech Team Offense Preview

Georgia Tech has had 109 total drives this season and they generate 5.13 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Georgia Tech is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Georgia Tech has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 44.01% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Georgia Tech struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Georgia Tech can take credit for 3.07 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Georgia Tech coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Georgia Tech Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Georgia Tech has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Pittsburgh Roster

The Players to Watch for Pittsburgh

Kenny Pickett QB 6-2 220

This season, Kenny Pickett has put up 2212 yards and 12 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 132.7thus far this season. Kenny Pickett has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kenny Pickett has 116.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 79.32 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 67.0 times this season, which puts him in the 88.43 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 7.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Vincent Davis RB 5-8 175

This season, Vincent Davis has 392 rushing yards on 118 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Vincent Davis picked up 154 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jordan Addison WR 6-0 170

This season, Jordan Addison picked up 652 yards. He caught the ball 57 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Patrick Jones II DL 6-5 260.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Pittsburgh, Patrick Jones II has 35 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.83 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 9 times this season, which put him in the 100.0 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Damar Hamlin DB 6-1 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Pittsburgh, Damar Hamlin had 66 tackles which puts him in the 98.6 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 96.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Damar Hamlin as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.49 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Georgia Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia Tech

Jeff Sims QB 6-3 215

This season, Jeff Sims has put up 1643 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 11 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 122.2thus far this season. Jeff Sims has thrown 11 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jeff Sims has 478.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 97.53 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 110.0 times this season, which puts him in the 97.53 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jahmyr Gibbs RB 5-11 200

This season, Jahmyr Gibbs has 460 rushing yards on 89 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jahmyr Gibbs picked up 303 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jalen Camp WR 6-2 220

This season, Jalen Camp picked up 320 yards. He caught the ball 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jordan Domineck DL 6-3 247.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Georgia Tech, Jordan Domineck has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.73 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 93.64 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Juanyeh Thomas DB 6-3 220.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia Tech, Juanyeh Thomas had 52 tackles which puts him in the 95.89 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.02 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Juanyeh Thomas as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 83.88 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Pittsburgh 24 Georgia Tech 18

Spread Pick: Georgia Tech +7 -115 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Pittsburgh -233 Pinnacle Sports
Total Pick: Under 55 -113 Bookmaker