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Rice vs. North Texas 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Rice visits North Texas on 11/21/2020 at 2:00PM.

Rice and North Texas face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Rice has a record of 1-1 this season. North Texas is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Rice Team Defense Preview

Rice has had 23 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.91 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Rice is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Rice has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Rice opponents pass the football 50.44% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Rice opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.54 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Rice is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Rice Team Offense Preview

Rice has had 23 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.83 plays per drive. Rice runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Rice is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Rice passes the football 40.30% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Rice has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Rice can take credit for 3.02 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Rice has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Rice is a better passing team than running team this season.

North Texas Team Defense Preview

North Texas has had 61 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.56 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. North Texas has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. North Texas opponents pass the football 48.97% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? North Texas can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.43 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. North Texas has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

North Texas Team Offense Preview

North Texas has had 63 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.4 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with North Texas, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 49.12% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.52 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

North Texas has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. North Texas is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. North Texas has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Rice Roster

The Players to Watch for Rice

Michael Collins QB 6-5 217

This season, Michael Collins has put up 475 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 181.3thus far this season. Michael Collins has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Michael Collins has 13.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 43.17 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 16.0 times this season, which puts him in the 55.29 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Juma Otoviano RB 5-10 201

This season, Juma Otoviano has 195 rushing yards on 45 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Juma Otoviano picked up 8 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Austin Trammell WR 5-10 185

This season, Austin Trammell picked up 219 yards. He caught the ball 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

De’braylon Carroll DT 6-0 287

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Rice, De’braylon Carroll has 8 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 61.41 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Elijah Garcia DL 6-5 302

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Rice, Elijah Garcia has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.05 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.27 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Kirk Lockhart S 5-11 185

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Rice, Kirk Lockhart had 12 tackles which puts him in the 56.2 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kirk Lockhart as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tre’shon Devones CB 6-0 176

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Rice, Tre’shon Devones had 8 tackles which puts him in the 50.16 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.32 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre’shon Devones as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The North Texas Roster

The Players to Watch for North Texas

Austin Aune QB 6-2 216

This season, Austin Aune has put up 1233 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 144.5thus far this season. Austin Aune has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Austin Aune has 12.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 42.15 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18.0 times this season, which puts him in the 57.85 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deandre Torrey RB 5-7 195

This season, Deandre Torrey has 444 rushing yards on 67 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deandre Torrey picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaelon Darden WR 5-9 174

This season, Jaelon Darden picked up 689 yards. He caught the ball 46 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 10 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dion Novil DL 6-4 330

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Texas, Dion Novil has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 81.28 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Makyle Sanders S 6-0 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Texas, Makyle Sanders had 28 tackles which puts him in the 85.46 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Makyle Sanders as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Rice vs. North Texas Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Rice 25 North Texas 30

Spread Pick: North Texas -1.5 -110 matchbook
Moneyline Pick: North Texas -112 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 65 -111 Bookmaker