College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Rutgers vs. Ohio State 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Rutgers visits Ohio State on 11/7/2020 at 7:30PM.

Rutgers and Ohio State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Rutgers has a record of 1-1 this season. Ohio State is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Rutgers Team Defense Preview

Rutgers has had 27 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.11 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Rutgers is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Rutgers opponents pass the football 49.28% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Rutgers opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Rutgers can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 1.4 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Rutgers has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Rutgers should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Rutgers is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Rutgers Team Offense Preview

Rutgers has had 28 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.82 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Rutgers is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 49.63% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Rutgers is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Rutgers can take credit for 2.22 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Rutgers Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Rutgers has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Ohio State Team Defense Preview

Ohio State has had 20 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.85 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Ohio State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Ohio State has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 50.52% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Ohio State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.68 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Ohio State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Ohio State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Ohio State Team Offense Preview

Ohio State has had 19 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 7.16 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Ohio State. Any defense is in for a challenge with Ohio State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 41.91% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Ohio State can take credit for 3.12 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Ohio State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Ohio State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Ohio State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Rutgers Roster

The Players to Watch for Rutgers

Noah Vedral QB 6-1 195

This season, Noah Vedral has put up 299 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 104.8thus far this season. Noah Vedral has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Noah Vedral has 40.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 64.31 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 23.0 times this season, which puts him in the 71.57 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Isaih Pacheco RB 5-11 210

This season, Isaih Pacheco has 85 rushing yards on 28 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Isaih Pacheco picked up 69 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bo Melton WR 5-11 190

This season, Bo Melton picked up 98 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

CJ Onyechi DL 6-0 248

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Rutgers, CJ Onyechi has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Brendon White DB 6-2 220

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Rutgers, Brendon White had 15 tackles which puts him in the 67.59 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Brendon White as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Ohio State Roster

The Players to Watch for Ohio State

Justin Fields QB 6-3 228

This season, Justin Fields has put up 594 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 214.0thus far this season. Justin Fields has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Justin Fields has 50.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 69.41 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 21.0 times this season, which puts him in the 68.24 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Master Teague RB 5-11 225

This season, Master Teague has 151 rushing yards on 35 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Master Teague picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Garrett Wilson WR 6-0 193

This season, Garrett Wilson picked up 240 yards. He caught the ball 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tommy Togiai DT 6-2 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ohio State, Tommy Togiai has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.44 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 97.81 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jonathon Cooper DE 6-4 257

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ohio State, Jonathon Cooper has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Marcus Hooker S 5-11 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Ohio State, Marcus Hooker had 10 tackles which puts him in the 56.67 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Marcus Hooker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Marcus Williamson CB 5-10 186

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Ohio State, Marcus Williamson had 6 tackles which puts him in the 47.21 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Marcus Williamson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Rutgers vs. Ohio State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Rutgers 13 Ohio State 47

Spread Pick: Rutgers +39 -105 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Ohio State -4118 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 64.5 -104 Pinnacle Sports