College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Rutgers vs. Purdue 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Rutgers visits Purdue on 11/28/2020 at 4:00PM.

Rutgers and Purdue face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Rutgers has a record of 1-4 this season. Purdue is 2-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Rutgers Team Defense Preview

Rutgers has had 63 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.51 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Rutgers has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Rutgers opponents pass the football 45.53% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Rutgers opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Rutgers can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.49 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Rutgers is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Rutgers Team Offense Preview

Rutgers has had 66 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.0 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Rutgers is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 52.73% of their play calls.Rutgers tends to pass more than other teams.

Rutgers is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.44 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Rutgers Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Rutgers is a better passing team than running team this season.

Purdue Team Defense Preview

Purdue has had 49 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.8 plays per drive. Purdue lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Purdue has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 46.13% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Purdue is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Purdue can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.54 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Purdue is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Purdue Team Offense Preview

Purdue has had 47 total drives this season and they generate 5.74 plays per drive. Purdue runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Purdue is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 67.41% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Purdue struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Purdue can take credit for 2.56 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Purdue Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Purdue is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Rutgers Roster

The Players to Watch for Rutgers

Noah Vedral QB 6-1 195

This season, Noah Vedral has put up 1101 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 123.8thus far this season. Noah Vedral has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Noah Vedral has 88.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 76.39 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 45.0 times this season, which puts him in the 83.28 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Isaih Pacheco RB 5-11 210

This season, Isaih Pacheco has 329 rushing yards on 70 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Isaih Pacheco picked up 79 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bo Melton WR 5-11 190

This season, Bo Melton picked up 440 yards. He caught the ball 26 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

CJ Onyechi DL 6-0 248

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Rutgers, CJ Onyechi has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 83.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Brendon White DB 6-2 220.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Rutgers, Brendon White had 35 tackles which puts him in the 90.32 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Brendon White as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Purdue Roster

The Players to Watch for Purdue

Aidan O’Connell QB 6-3 200

This season, Aidan O’Connell has put up 916 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 135.3thus far this season. Aidan O’Connell has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Aidan O’Connell has -69.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 1.64 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 12.0 times this season, which puts him in the 47.21 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Alexander Horvath RB 6-3 230

This season, Alexander Horvath has 320 rushing yards on 63 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Alexander Horvath picked up 205 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

David Bell WR 6-2 205

This season, David Bell picked up 425 yards. He caught the ball 39 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Lorenzo Neal DT 6-3 325

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Purdue, Lorenzo Neal has 8 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 25.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Branson Deen DL 6-2 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Purdue, Branson Deen has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 22.49 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Cory Trice S 6-3 210.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Purdue, Cory Trice had 24 tackles which puts him in the 76.08 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 75.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cory Trice as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Cam Allen CB 6-1 200

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Purdue, Cam Allen had 19 tackles which puts him in the 77.68 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cam Allen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 94.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Rutgers vs. Purdue Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Rutgers 21 Purdue 39

Spread Pick: Purdue -11 -107 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Purdue -392 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 62 -108 matchbook