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San Diego State vs. Brigham Young 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The San Diego State visits Brigham Young on 12/12/2020 at 10:00PM.

San Diego State and Brigham Young face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. San Diego State has a record of 4-3 this season. Brigham Young is 9-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

San Diego State Team Defense Preview

San Diego State has had 90 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.72 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, San Diego State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. San Diego State opponents pass the football 52.24% of the time.San Diego State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

San Diego State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 1.93 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

San Diego State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. San Diego State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. San Diego State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

San Diego State Team Offense Preview

San Diego State has had 84 total drives this season and they generate 5.32 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. San Diego State passes the football 40.49% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

San Diego State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. San Diego State can take credit for 2.52 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the San Diego State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. San Diego State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Brigham Young Team Defense Preview

Brigham Young has had 84 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.31 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Brigham Young opponents pass the football 51.79% of the time.Brigham Young tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Brigham Young can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Brigham Young is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Brigham Young Team Offense Preview

Brigham Young has had 84 total drives this season and they generate 6.01 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Brigham Young. Any defense is in for a challenge with Brigham Young, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 52.48% of their play calls.Brigham Young tends to pass more than other teams.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.36 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Brigham Young has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Brigham Young is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Brigham Young is a better passing team than running team this season.

The San Diego State Roster

The Players to Watch for San Diego State

Carson Baker QB 6-3 210

This season, Carson Baker has put up 617 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 109.3thus far this season. Carson Baker has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Carson Baker has 1.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 26.85 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 25.0 times this season, which puts him in the 63.12 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Greg Bell RB 6-0 200

This season, Greg Bell has 569 rushing yards on 95 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Greg Bell picked up 72 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jesse Matthews WR 6-0 190

This season, Jesse Matthews picked up 275 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Cameron Thomas DL 6-5 265.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for San Diego State, Cameron Thomas has 30 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.73 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 89.57 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tariq Thompson S 6-0 210.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Diego State, Tariq Thompson had 37 tackles which puts him in the 86.65 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Tariq Thompson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 83.84 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Darren Hall CB 6-0 190

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for San Diego State, Darren Hall had 33 tackles which puts him in the 94.48 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 91.5 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Darren Hall as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 97.73 percentile among Corners this season.

The Brigham Young Roster

The Players to Watch for Brigham Young

San Diego State vs. Brigham Young Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: San Diego State 14 Brigham Young 21

Spread Pick: San Diego State +18 -108 Heritage
Moneyline Pick: Brigham Young -705 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 48.5 -145 matchbook