College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

San Jose State vs. Boise State 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The San Jose State visits Boise State on 11/28/2020 at 4:00PM.

San Jose State and Boise State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. San Jose State has a record of 4-0 this season. Boise State is 4-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

San Jose State Team Defense Preview

San Jose State has had 46 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.72 plays per drive. San Jose State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 43.73% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

San Jose State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? San Jose State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.73 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!San Jose State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

San Jose State Team Offense Preview

San Jose State has had 48 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.85 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, San Jose State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. San Jose State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. San Jose State passes the football 54.08% of the time.San Jose State tends to pass more than other teams.

San Jose State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. San Jose State can take credit for 2.42 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

San Jose State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. San Jose State is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. San Jose State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Boise State Team Defense Preview

Boise State has had 55 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.29 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 41.92% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Boise State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.18 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Boise State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boise State Team Offense Preview

Boise State has had 46 total drives this season and they generate 5.61 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Boise State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Boise State passes the football 51.16% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Boise State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.88 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Boise State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Boise State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The San Jose State Roster

The Players to Watch for San Jose State

Nick Starkel QB 6-3 214

This season, Nick Starkel has put up 980 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 171.0thus far this season. Nick Starkel has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Starkel has -6.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 17.54 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 4.0 times this season, which puts him in the 25.57 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tyler Nevens RB 6-0 225

This season, Tyler Nevens has 118 rushing yards on 23 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tyler Nevens picked up 7 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bailey Gaither WR 6-1 182

This season, Bailey Gaither picked up 432 yards. He caught the ball 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Junior Fehoko DE 6-4 233

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for San Jose State, Junior Fehoko has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.29 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.93 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tre Webb S 6-0 202.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Jose State, Tre Webb had 30 tackles which puts him in the 85.66 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 95.56 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre Webb as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Nehemiah Shelton CB 6-2 168

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Jose State, Nehemiah Shelton had 19 tackles which puts him in the 77.68 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.17 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nehemiah Shelton as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Boise State Roster

The Players to Watch for Boise State

Hank Bachmeier QB 6-1 204

This season, Hank Bachmeier has put up 748 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 154.4thus far this season. Hank Bachmeier has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Hank Bachmeier has -19.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 9.84 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 14.0 times this season, which puts him in the 50.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Andrew Van Buren RB 6-0 228

This season, Andrew Van Buren has 277 rushing yards on 75 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Andrew Van Buren picked up 47 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Khalil Shakir WR 6-0 190

This season, Khalil Shakir picked up 529 yards. He caught the ball 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Scott Matlock DT 6-4 282

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Scott Matlock has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.08 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 90.85 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shane Irwin DE 6-3 254

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Shane Irwin has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.29 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 97.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Kekaula Kaniho S 5-10 177.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boise State, Kekaula Kaniho had 23 tackles which puts him in the 74.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 88.98 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kekaula Kaniho as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jalen Walker CB 6-0 181

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boise State, Jalen Walker had 25 tackles which puts him in the 90.52 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 78.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Walker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

San Jose State vs. Boise State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: San Jose State 29 Boise State 36

Spread Pick: San Jose State +12 -110 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Boise State -395 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 58 -107 Pinnacle Sports