College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

San Jose State vs. San Diego State 11/6/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The San Jose State visits San Diego State on 11/6/2020 at 9:00PM.

San Jose State and San Diego State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. San Jose State has a record of 2-0 this season. San Diego State is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

San Jose State Team Defense Preview

San Jose State has had 23 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.74 plays per drive. San Jose State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. San Jose State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. San Jose State opponents pass the football 38.64% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.97 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. San Jose State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

San Jose State Team Offense Preview

San Jose State has had 24 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.17 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, San Jose State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. San Jose State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 57.26% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

San Jose State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. San Jose State can take credit for 2.16 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

San Jose State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. San Jose State is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. San Jose State is a better passing team than running team this season.

San Diego State Team Defense Preview

San Diego State has had 19 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.53 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 56.19% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

San Diego State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.52 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

San Diego State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. San Diego State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. San Diego State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

San Diego State Team Offense Preview

San Diego State has had 19 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.79 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to San Diego State. Any defense is in for a challenge with San Diego State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.San Diego State passes the football 39.53% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. San Diego State can take credit for 3.51 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against San Diego State this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. San Diego State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The San Jose State Roster

The Players to Watch for San Jose State

Nick Starkel QB 6-3 214

This season, Nick Starkel has put up 693 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 178.0thus far this season. Nick Starkel has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Starkel has -5.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 16.86 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 1.0 times this season, which puts him in the 10.39 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kairee Robinson RB 5-8 185

This season, Kairee Robinson has 46 rushing yards on 17 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kairee Robinson picked up 25 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bailey Gaither WR 6-1 182

This season, Bailey Gaither picked up 318 yards. He caught the ball 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Junior Fehoko DE 6-4 233

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for San Jose State, Junior Fehoko has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tre Webb S 6-0 202

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Jose State, Tre Webb had 14 tackles which puts him in the 65.07 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre Webb as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Nehemiah Shelton CB 6-2 168

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Jose State, Nehemiah Shelton had 10 tackles which puts him in the 64.5 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nehemiah Shelton as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The San Diego State Roster

The Players to Watch for San Diego State

Carson Baker QB 6-3 210

This season, Carson Baker has put up 300 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 125.2thus far this season. Carson Baker has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Carson Baker has 38.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 63.33 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 9.0 times this season, which puts him in the 46.47 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Greg Bell RB 6-0 200

This season, Greg Bell has 268 rushing yards on 41 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Greg Bell picked up 29 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kobe Smith WR 6-2 185

This season, Kobe Smith picked up 64 yards. He caught the ball 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keshawn Banks DL 6-4 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for San Diego State, Keshawn Banks has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Dwayne Johnson Jr. S 6-2 215

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Diego State, Dwayne Johnson Jr. had 13 tackles which puts him in the 63.03 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Dwayne Johnson Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Cedarious Barfield CB 5-11 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Diego State, Cedarious Barfield had 8 tackles which puts him in the 55.2 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.49 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cedarious Barfield as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

San Jose State vs. San Diego State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: San Jose State 16 San Diego State 21

Spread Pick: San Jose State +10 -100 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: San Diego State -365 Bookmaker
Total Pick: Under 50 -107 Pinnacle Sports