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SMU vs. East Carolina 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The SMU visits East Carolina on 11/28/2020 at 12:00PM.

SMU and East Carolina face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. SMU has a record of 7-2 this season. East Carolina is 2-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

SMU Team Defense Preview

SMU has had 105 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.43 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. SMU has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 47.89% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

SMU is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.97 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!SMU is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

SMU Team Offense Preview

SMU has had 102 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.94 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to SMU. SMU has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 53.47% of their play calls.SMU tends to pass more than other teams.

SMU is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. SMU can take credit for 3.03 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The SMU coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against SMU this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. SMU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

East Carolina Team Defense Preview

East Carolina has had 90 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.0 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, East Carolina is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. East Carolina has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 44.00% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? East Carolina can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.04 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. East Carolina is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

East Carolina Team Offense Preview

East Carolina has had 93 total drives this season and they generate 4.43 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, East Carolina is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. East Carolina passes the football 55.58% of the time.East Carolina tends to pass more than other teams.

East Carolina struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.55 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the East Carolina Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. East Carolina is a better passing team than running team this season.

The SMU Roster

The Players to Watch for SMU

Shane Buechele QB 6-1 207

This season, Shane Buechele has put up 2781 yards and 21 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 157.3thus far this season. Shane Buechele has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Shane Buechele has 105.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 79.34 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 49.0 times this season, which puts him in the 85.08 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Ulysses Bentley IV RB 5-10 184

This season, Ulysses Bentley IV has 877 rushing yards on 158 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 11 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Ulysses Bentley IV picked up 133 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Rashee Rice WR 6-1 189

This season, Rashee Rice picked up 637 yards. He caught the ball 43 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Elijah Chatman DT 6-0 272

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for SMU, Elijah Chatman has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.3 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 95.77 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Gary Wiley DE 6-1 241

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for SMU, Gary Wiley has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Chace Cromartie S 6-0 180.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for SMU, Chace Cromartie had 44 tackles which puts him in the 95.3 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 97.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Chace Cromartie as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Chevin Calloway CB 5-10 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for SMU, Chevin Calloway had 30 tackles which puts him in the 95.26 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Chevin Calloway as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The East Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for East Carolina

Holton Ahlers QB 6-3 228

This season, Holton Ahlers has put up 1623 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 9 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 129.0thus far this season. Holton Ahlers has thrown 9 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Holton Ahlers has 108.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 80.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 46.0 times this season, which puts him in the 84.1 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Rahjai Harris RB 5-10 228

This season, Rahjai Harris has 624 rushing yards on 128 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Rahjai Harris picked up 31 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tyler Snead WR 5-7 169

This season, Tyler Snead picked up 432 yards. He caught the ball 46 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Xavier McIver DT 6-1 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for East Carolina, Xavier McIver has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 25.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Chris Willis DL 6-2 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for East Carolina, Chris Willis has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.07 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 83.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jireh Wilson DB 6-3 201.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for East Carolina, Jireh Wilson had 60 tackles which puts him in the 98.92 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 6 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 99.42 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 4 times last season. Jireh Wilson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

SMU vs. East Carolina Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: SMU 46 East Carolina 24

Spread Pick: SMU -11 -108 Heritage
Moneyline Pick: SMU -400 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 67 -113 Bookmaker