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South Alabama vs. Louisiana-Lafayette 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The South Alabama visits Louisiana-Lafayette on 11/14/2020 at 2:00PM.

South Alabama and Louisiana-Lafayette face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. South Alabama has a record of 3-4 this season. Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

South Alabama Team Defense Preview

South Alabama has had 77 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.51 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. South Alabama has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. South Alabama opponents pass the football 45.05% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

South Alabama is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.66 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. South Alabama is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

South Alabama Team Offense Preview

South Alabama has had 76 total drives this season and they generate 5.99 plays per drive. South Alabama runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. South Alabama passes the football 48.35% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

South Alabama struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.37 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the South Alabama Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. South Alabama is a better passing team than running team this season.

Louisiana-Lafayette Team Defense Preview

Louisiana-Lafayette has had 86 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.91 plays per drive. Louisiana-Lafayette lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Louisiana-Lafayette opponents pass the football 42.72% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Louisiana-Lafayette can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.35 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Louisiana-Lafayette Team Offense Preview

Louisiana-Lafayette has had 84 total drives this season and they generate 5.3 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Louisiana-Lafayette is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Louisiana-Lafayette passes the football 44.27% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Louisiana-Lafayette has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Louisiana-Lafayette can take credit for 3.12 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Louisiana-Lafayette coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Louisiana-Lafayette this season. Louisiana-Lafayette is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The South Alabama Roster

The Players to Watch for South Alabama

Desmond Trotter QB 6-3 200

This season, Desmond Trotter has put up 1187 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 166.2thus far this season. Desmond Trotter has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Desmond Trotter has 56.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 68.68 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 49.0 times this season, which puts him in the 88.79 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Carlos Davis RB 5-10 205

This season, Carlos Davis has 586 rushing yards on 134 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Carlos Davis picked up 82 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jalen Tolbert WR 6-3 195

This season, Jalen Tolbert picked up 602 yards. He caught the ball 39 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jeremiah Littles DL 6-2 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for South Alabama, Jeremiah Littles has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.78 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Keith Gallmon S 5-9 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Alabama, Keith Gallmon had 56 tackles which puts him in the 99.42 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Keith Gallmon as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 87.26 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Darrell Luter Jr. CB 6-0 175

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Alabama, Darrell Luter Jr. had 21 tackles which puts him in the 90.17 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Darrell Luter Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Louisiana-Lafayette Roster

The Players to Watch for Louisiana-Lafayette

Levi Lewis QB 5-10 184

This season, Levi Lewis has put up 1624 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 140.7thus far this season. Levi Lewis has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Levi Lewis has 175.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 90.39 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 31.0 times this season, which puts him in the 77.76 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Elijah Mitchell RB 5-11 218

This season, Elijah Mitchell has 502 rushing yards on 87 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Elijah Mitchell picked up 73 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Peter LeBlanc WR 6-2 190

This season, Peter LeBlanc picked up 300 yards. He caught the ball 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zi’Yon Hill DL 6-1 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Louisiana-Lafayette, Zi’Yon Hill has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 72.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Bralen Trahan S 6-0 191

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisiana-Lafayette, Bralen Trahan had 34 tackles which puts him in the 93.03 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Bralen Trahan as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.28 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Eric Garror CB 5-9 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisiana-Lafayette, Eric Garror had 20 tackles which puts him in the 87.29 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Eric Garror as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 98.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

South Alabama vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: South Alabama 22 Louisiana-Lafayette 37

Spread Pick: South Alabama +16 -112 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Louisiana-Lafayette -578 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 53.5 -110 bet365