College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

South Carolina vs. Kentucky 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The South Carolina visits Kentucky on 12/5/2020 at 7:30PM.

South Carolina and Kentucky face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. South Carolina has a record of 2-7 this season. Kentucky is 3-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

South Carolina Team Defense Preview

South Carolina has had 90 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.83 plays per drive. South Carolina lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on South Carolina message boards are flights of fantasy. South Carolina opponents pass the football 48.19% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.24 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. South Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

South Carolina Team Offense Preview

South Carolina has had 94 total drives this season and they generate 5.7 plays per drive. South Carolina runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. South Carolina is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. South Carolina passes the football 50.75% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

South Carolina is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.71 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the South Carolina Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. South Carolina has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Kentucky Team Defense Preview

Kentucky has had 94 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.87 plays per drive. Kentucky lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Kentucky has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 49.82% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Kentucky is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.92 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Kentucky is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kentucky Team Offense Preview

Kentucky has had 91 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.3 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Kentucky is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 40.66% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.04 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Kentucky coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Kentucky this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Kentucky has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The South Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for South Carolina

Collin Hill QB 6-4 222

This season, Collin Hill has put up 1411 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 117.8thus far this season. Collin Hill has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Collin Hill has -66.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 1.9 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 43.0 times this season, which puts him in the 81.75 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kevin Harris RB 5-10 225

This season, Kevin Harris has 928 rushing yards on 164 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 14 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kevin Harris picked up 142 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Shi Smith WR 5-10 190

This season, Shi Smith picked up 605 yards. He caught the ball 54 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keir Thomas DL 6-2 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for South Carolina, Keir Thomas has 32 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 92.0 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 90.49 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jammie Robinson DB 5-11 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Carolina, Jammie Robinson had 69 tackles which puts him in the 99.08 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jammie Robinson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Kentucky Roster

The Players to Watch for Kentucky

Terry Wilson QB 6-3 202

This season, Terry Wilson has put up 891 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 121.8thus far this season. Terry Wilson has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Terry Wilson has 364.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 95.24 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 84.0 times this season, which puts him in the 94.6 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. RB 5-11 224

This season, Christopher Rodriguez Jr. has 562 rushing yards on 88 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Christopher Rodriguez Jr. picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Ali WR 6-0 193

This season, Josh Ali picked up 424 yards. He caught the ball 43 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Phil Hoskins DT 6-5 315

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kentucky, Phil Hoskins has 22 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Joshua Paschal DE 6-3 278

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Kentucky, Joshua Paschal has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.63 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Yusuf Corker DB 6-0 197.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kentucky, Yusuf Corker had 66 tackles which puts him in the 98.82 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Yusuf Corker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Marlin Devonshire CB 5-11 182

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Kentucky, Marlin Devonshire had 1 tackles which puts him in the 7.92 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Marlin Devonshire as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

South Carolina vs. Kentucky Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: South Carolina 24 Kentucky 28

Spread Pick: South Carolina +12 -110 YouWager
Moneyline Pick: Kentucky -403 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 47 -109 Bookmaker