College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

South Florida vs. Houston 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The South Florida visits Houston on 11/14/2020 at 3:30PM.

South Florida and Houston face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. South Florida has a record of 1-6 this season. Houston is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

South Florida Team Defense Preview

South Florida has had 66 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.8 plays per drive. South Florida lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. South Florida has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. South Florida opponents pass the football 43.86% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

South Florida is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.79 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. South Florida is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

South Florida Team Offense Preview

South Florida has had 67 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.87 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, South Florida is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 48.47% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

South Florida struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. South Florida can take credit for 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the South Florida Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. South Florida has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Houston Team Defense Preview

Houston has had 59 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.37 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Houston has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 46.69% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Houston opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.8 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Houston is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Houston Team Offense Preview

Houston has had 56 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.73 plays per drive. Houston runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Houston is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 52.34% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Houston is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Houston can take credit for 2.72 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Houston Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Houston is a better passing team than running team this season.

The South Florida Roster

The Players to Watch for South Florida

Jordan McCloud QB 6-0 193

This season, Jordan McCloud has put up 757 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 123.4thus far this season. Jordan McCloud has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jordan McCloud has 29.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 57.47 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 35.0 times this season, which puts him in the 80.78 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Johnny Ford RB 5-5 172

This season, Johnny Ford has 285 rushing yards on 55 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Johnny Ford picked up 125 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Omarion Dollison WR 5-9 180

This season, Omarion Dollison picked up 220 yards. He caught the ball 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Thad Mangum DT 6-2 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for South Florida, Thad Mangum has 28 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 88.94 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.43 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Rashawn Yates DL 6-3 271

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for South Florida, Rashawn Yates has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Nick Roberts DB 5-11 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Florida, Nick Roberts had 39 tackles which puts him in the 95.14 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nick Roberts as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Ben Knox CB 6-2 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Florida, Ben Knox had 1 tackles which puts him in the 7.8 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ben Knox as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Houston Roster

The Players to Watch for Houston

Clayton Tune QB 6-3 215

This season, Clayton Tune has put up 1397 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 138.6thus far this season. Clayton Tune has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Clayton Tune has 113.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 84.34 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 42.0 times this season, which puts him in the 84.34 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kyle Porter RB 5-9 210

This season, Kyle Porter has 324 rushing yards on 81 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kyle Porter picked up 91 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marquez Stevenson WR 6-0 190

This season, Marquez Stevenson picked up 278 yards. He caught the ball 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Payton Turner DL 6-6 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Houston, Payton Turner has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.48 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 96.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Gervarrius Owens S 6-0 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Houston, Gervarrius Owens had 26 tackles which puts him in the 85.53 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Gervarrius Owens as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Damarion Williams CB 5-11 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Houston, Damarion Williams had 22 tackles which puts him in the 91.86 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 81.69 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Damarion Williams as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

South Florida vs. Houston Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: South Florida 19 Houston 31

Spread Pick: South Florida +14 -111 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Houston -509 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 58 -112 BetOnline