College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

South Florida vs. Memphis 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The South Florida visits Memphis on 11/7/2020 at 12:00PM.

South Florida and Memphis face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. South Florida has a record of 1-5 this season. Memphis is 3-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

South Florida Team Defense Preview

South Florida has had 52 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.79 plays per drive. South Florida lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. South Florida has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. South Florida opponents pass the football 38.54% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

South Florida is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? South Florida can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.84 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. South Florida is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

South Florida Team Offense Preview

South Florida has had 54 total drives this season and they generate 4.93 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, South Florida is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 48.12% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

South Florida struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.73 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the South Florida Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. South Florida has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Memphis Team Defense Preview

Memphis has had 59 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.34 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Memphis cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Memphis has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 59.36% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Memphis is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Memphis can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.99 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Memphis is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Memphis Team Offense Preview

Memphis has had 61 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.95 plays per drive. Memphis runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Memphis is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Memphis passes the football 52.07% of the time.Memphis tends to pass more than other teams.

Memphis is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Memphis can take credit for 2.68 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Memphis Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Memphis is a better passing team than running team this season.

The South Florida Roster

The Players to Watch for South Florida

Jordan McCloud QB 6-0 193

This season, Jordan McCloud has put up 757 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 123.4thus far this season. Jordan McCloud has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jordan McCloud has 29.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 58.04 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 35.0 times this season, which puts him in the 82.55 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Johnny Ford RB 5-5 172

This season, Johnny Ford has 285 rushing yards on 55 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Johnny Ford picked up 125 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Omarion Dollison WR 5-9 180

This season, Omarion Dollison picked up 202 yards. He caught the ball 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Thad Mangum DT 6-2 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for South Florida, Thad Mangum has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.44 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Rashawn Yates DL 6-3 271

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for South Florida, Rashawn Yates has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Nick Roberts DB 5-11 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Florida, Nick Roberts had 39 tackles which puts him in the 96.59 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nick Roberts as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Ben Knox CB 6-2 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Florida, Ben Knox had 1 tackles which puts him in the 8.92 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ben Knox as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Memphis Roster

The Players to Watch for Memphis

Brady White QB 6-3 210

This season, Brady White has put up 1691 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 159.2thus far this season. Brady White has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brady White has 45.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 66.47 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 32.0 times this season, which puts him in the 79.8 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Rodrigues Clark RB 6-0 200

This season, Rodrigues Clark has 437 rushing yards on 91 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Rodrigues Clark picked up 35 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Calvin Austin III WR 5-9 162

This season, Calvin Austin III picked up 545 yards. He caught the ball 31 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

O’Bryan Goodson DL 6-1 297

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Memphis, O’Bryan Goodson has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 94.97 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Quindell Johnson DB 6-1 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Memphis, Quindell Johnson had 38 tackles which puts him in the 96.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Quindell Johnson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jacobi Francis CB 5-10 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Memphis, Jacobi Francis had 16 tackles which puts him in the 81.78 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.49 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jacobi Francis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.72 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

South Florida vs. Memphis Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: South Florida 19 Memphis 36

Spread Pick: No Action
Moneyline Pick: Memphis -700 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 67.5 -110 Bookmaker